The first leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between PSG (France) and Liverpool (England) will take place on March 5 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. PSG vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians' clash with Brest in the previous round set several records. Following a 3-0 away thrashing, Luis Enrique's side demolished their opponent at home with a 7-0 victory. This win marked PSG's largest ever in European competitions. Additionally, the team did not concede a single goal in a Champions League knockout stage for the first time. The French side has won five consecutive Champions League matches and has reached the Round of 16 for the 13th consecutive time.
- The Parisians have scored at least three goals in their last five Champions League games.
- At home, the club has not lost in 15 of their last 19 Champions League matches (12 wins, 3 draws).
- PSG has conceded in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Liverpool
The English side excelled in the main round. Arne Slot's team won seven consecutive matches at the start of the tournament and were the first to secure a spot in the Champions League Round of 16. A defeat in the last round against PSV slightly marred the overall picture, but it should be noted that the team played with a second-string lineup. Nevertheless, Liverpool managed to score twice against the Dutch, marking the sixth match in the current tournament where they scored at least two goals. Additionally, the British team last reached the Champions League quarter-finals in the 2020/21 season.
- The club has opened the scoring in their last 7 Champions League matches.
- Liverpool has not drawn in their last 16 away matches in this tournament (12 wins, 4 losses).
- In 6 of their last 7 away Champions League games, the English side has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
Defenders Joseph Gomez and Conor Bradley are injured.
Referee
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
PSG vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
After a shaky start to the group stage, the Parisians steamrolled their opponents. Luis Enrique's side has secured five consecutive victories with an aggregate score of 21:3. This includes a win over another English club, Manchester City (4:2). The French attack has been impressive, but there are concerns about their defense. PSG has scored in their last 5 home Champions League games but managed to keep a clean sheet only against Girona and Brest during this period.
Eight teams in the group have scored more than Liverpool, but the English side remains attack-minded. In the national championship, Arne Slot's team leads in terms of scoring. The British side's five clean sheets in the group stage are impressive, but away in the current Champions League campaign, they have only kept clean sheets against the aforementioned Girona and Leipzig, which turned out to be one of the tournament's biggest disappointments.
Given the attacking potential of both teams, my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals