The Matchday 7 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League between PSG (France) and Manchester City (England) will take place on January 22 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. PSG vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 36%.
Predicted lineups for PSG vs. Manchester City
PSG (4-1-2-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, Lucas Hernandez, Lucas Beraldo, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz – Senny Mayulu, Lee Kang-In – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Ousmane Dembélé.
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Stefan Ortega – Nathan Aké, Rico Lewis, Joško Gvardiol, Manuel Akanji – Mateo Kovačić, Bernardo Silva – Kevin De Bruyne, Phil Foden, Savio – Erling Haaland.
PSG
In the last round, the Parisians secured only their second victory in the current Champions League. After a four-match winless streak, which included three losses and one draw, they defeated Salzburg 3-0 away. Interestingly, PSG had conceded in 21 consecutive away matches in this European competition before this win. It was also their first large-margin away victory in the Champions League group stage since October 2019. However, the team is still outside the playoff zone but is only one point behind their nearest rival, who is in 24th place.
According to Champions League regulations, forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will not be able to participate in PSG's remaining group stage matches. Forward Ibrahima Mbaye will miss the match due to injury.
- PSG has failed to win in 6 of their last 8 matches in this European competition (1 draw and 5 losses).
- One of the teams failed to score in 6 of PSG's last 8 Champions League matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score of 7 of PSG's last 9 matches in this tournament.
Manchester City
The English side is winless in three consecutive matches in the Champions League group stage. During this period, they drew 3-3 at home with Feyenoord and lost away to Sporting (1-4) and Juventus (0-2). This run has seen them drop to 22nd in the standings. Pep Guardiola's team is only one point ahead of PSG. Notably, their loss to Juventus in the last round ended their 10-match scoring streak in away Champions League games.
Midfielder Rodri Hernández will miss the match due to injury.
- Manchester City has won only two of their last eight matches in this tournament (4 draws and 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Manchester City's last 12 Champions League matches.
- The English side has not lost the first half in their last six matches in this European competition (3 wins and 3 draws).
PSG vs. Manchester City: Match Prediction
These top clubs are in similar situations in the Champions League. Both teams will significantly reduce their chances of reaching the playoffs if they drop points in the upcoming match, so they will approach the game with maximum focus. I expect this to affect the scoring. I anticipate that the defenses will outperform the attacks, especially since both teams have been struggling with finishing.
In PSG's last eight matches in this tournament, no more than three goals were scored. Moreover, the Parisians themselves have only scored more than one goal once in this period. The English side has scored just one goal in their last two away Champions League matches. Additionally, in the last five head-to-head encounters in this European competition, the teams have never scored more than three goals combined.
My prediction: Total under 3 goals