The match of the 8th round of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Paris Saint-Germain (France) and Newcastle United (England) will take place on 28 January at Parc des Princes in Paris. Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain played their last two Champions League matches away, sharing the points with Athletic Club (0:0) and losing in the previous round to Sporting (1:2). It should be noted that the home side failed to win in two consecutive matches in this tournament for the first time since the start of autumn 2024. It is also worth adding that, under Luis Enrique, the home side kept a clean sheet in only one of their last six Champions League games. Overall, the team conceded 10 goals, the worst figure among representatives of the top eight. A win in the final round guarantees a place in the top eight for the home side, while dropping points could send the team into the play-off zone.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 Champions League games involving the home side.
- The team avoided defeat in 8 of their previous 10 matches in this competition (7 wins, 1 draw).
- In 5 of the last 6 home Champions League matches the home side scored at least twice.
Potential Paris Saint-Germain Lineup (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Illya Zabarnyi, Marquinhos, Nuno Mendes, Wilian Pacho – Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Bradley Barcola.
Midfielders Lee Kang-in, Joao Neves and Fabian Ruiz are out due to injuries. Goalkeeper Matvei Safonov has returned to full training but will miss the upcoming match.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United secured a 3:0 victory over PSV in the previous round, marking their fourth win in the 2025/26 Champions League. It is worth noting that all the visitors' victories have been clean sheets. In terms of shutouts, the away side trails only Tottenham and Arsenal (5 matches each), and with six goals conceded overall the visitors are behind only the tournament leader. The club's attack is also in fine form: the scoring run in the Champions League stretches to nine matches. With 13 points, the team managed by Eddie Howe has secured at least a place in the play-offs, and a win in the upcoming match will guarantee a top-eight finish.
- The visitors scored at least twice in 5 of their previous 6 Champions League matches.
- There was a goal in both halves in the last 6 Champions League matches involving Newcastle United.
- On the road in the Champions League the team did not win in 5 of their previous 6 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats).
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Lewis Hall, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Malik Tiaw – Jacob Ramsey, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali – Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.
For injury reasons the match will be missed by forwards Jacob Murphy and William Osula, defenders Jamal Lascelles, Fabian Schär, Valentino Livramento, Dan Burn and Emil Krafth, as well as midfielder Bruno Guimarães.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellow) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 25;
Penalties – 33%.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United: Match Prediction
The French side's away tour was unsuccessful, but at home the team still presents a formidable force. In their own stadium the home side won 6 of their last 8 Champions League matches, losing in that run only to Bayern and Liverpool. We believe Paris Saint-Germain will make every effort to secure a place in the top eight. However, the visitors have forced respect and it will not be easy for the home side. In addition, Newcastle United took points from Paris Saint-Germain in both head-to-head meetings in the 2023/24 season (1 win, 1 draw). The visitors will face a difficult schedule: the Champions League match comes amid challenging fixtures in the domestic championship, with confrontations against Aston Villa and Liverpool expected.
Both teams have shown excellent attacking form. The home side are among the top three for goals scored, and the visitors have scored only slightly fewer. At the same time, Paris Saint-Germain's defence lacks reliability, while Newcastle United kept three of their four clean sheets at home. On the road the club conceded in 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches.
Given that a draw is unlikely to satisfy either side, both will look to press forward. It is also worth adding that Newcastle United did not win in 8 of 9 away matches against French clubs in European competitions (3 draws, 5 defeats).
Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain Draw No Bet + Over 2.5 goals
