The Matchday 6 clash in the Nations League between Poland and Scotland in Group 1 of League A will take place on November 18 at the National Stadium in Warsaw. Poland vs. Scotland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Christian Dingert (Germany)
Matches – 4 (International matches, 2021–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 75%.
Predicted lineups for Poland vs. Scotland
Poland (3-5-2): Marcin Bulka – Jan Bednarek, Kamil Piontkowski, Jakub Kiwior – Bartosz Bereszyński, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zieliński, Taras Romanczuk, Mateusz Bogusz – Kacper Urbański, Krzysztof Piątek.
Scotland (4-2-3-1): Craig Gordon – Andrew Robertson, John Souttar, Grant Hanley, Anthony Ralston – Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean – Scott McTominay, Ben Doak, Ryan Christie – Tommy Conway.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Poland
In this edition of the Nations League, Poland has managed just one victory, achieved in the first round against Scotland (3-2). Since then, Michal Probierz's side has suffered three defeats and one draw. The most painful loss came in the last match, where Poland was defeated 1-5 away by Portugal. As a result, the team has lost all chances of reaching the playoffs and could be relegated to League B if they lose the upcoming match. However, if Poland avoids defeat, they will play in the relegation playoffs to retain their place in League A.
- At least four goals have been scored in 4 of Poland's last 5 Nations League games.
- The team has not led at halftime in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament (3 draws and 4 losses).
- Poland has secured only two victories in 10 home games in the Nations League (2 draws and 6 losses).
Scotland
Steve Clarke's side performed well in the last two rounds. Playing at home, the Scots first drew with Portugal (0-0) and then defeated Croatia 1-0. This allowed them to catch up with Poland on points (4), but due to a head-to-head loss, Scotland sits at the bottom of the table before the final round. Notably, if they manage to beat Poland, Scotland will guarantee at least third place. Additionally, the team could finish second and advance to the playoffs if Croatia loses at home to Portugal in the parallel group match and ends up with a worse goal difference.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Scotland's last 10 Nations League games.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament (1 draw and 5 losses).
Poland vs. Scotland: Match Prediction
Steve Clarke's side showed character and determination in the last two rounds. However, their success in the fight to retain a place in League A was due to home games. On the road, the Scots are not as strong as they are at home, having only beaten modest Armenia and drawn with Ukraine on neutral ground in their last seven away matches.
It will be challenging to secure points against Poland. Nevertheless, I believe the teams will not determine a winner in this encounter. Despite Scotland's ability to achieve the desired result, they remain weak away from home, while Poland can hold on for the draw they need thanks to the support of their fans. However, I do not believe in a home victory, as Poland generally takes a lukewarm approach to this tournament, showing mediocre results even at home – with only two wins in their last 10 home Nations League matches (2 draws and 6 losses).
A draw would be a satisfactory result for Poland, allowing them to retain third place and prepare for the playoffs to secure a spot in League A in the next edition. My prediction: Draw