Portugal vs Denmark: betting odds March 23, 2025

The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League quarter-final between Portugal and Denmark will take place on March 23 at the Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Denmark. Portugal vs. Denmark: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Portugal

Roberto Martinez's side lost 0-1 in Denmark, suffering their first defeat in the current Nations League campaign (4 wins, 2 draws). Notably, Portugal managed to keep a clean sheet in only one match during this stretch. Only seven teams have yet to record a clean sheet in the 2024/25 Nations League. To reach their second semi-final in this tournament, Portugal needs to beat Denmark by at least two goals. Half of the team's victories in the group stage were achieved with the necessary margin.

• Both teams scored in 5 of Portugal's last 7 Nations League matches.
• In 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament, the team scored at least two goals.
• At home, the national team has not conceded more than one goal in 13 consecutive Nations League matches.

Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)

Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Diogo Dalot – Vitinha, Joao Neves, Bruno Fernandes, Renato Veiga – Rafael Leao, Cristiano Ronaldo, Pedro Neto.

Denmark

The Danes not only secured an advantage before the return leg but also ended a four-match winless streak in the Nations League (2 draws, 2 losses). Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet for the fourth time in this tournament's campaign, with only North Macedonia having a better record (5). To reach the semi-finals, Brian Riemer's side only needs to avoid defeat in Portugal. In the 2024/25 Nations League, Denmark has suffered just two losses, both by the narrowest of margins. A repeat of such an outcome would lead to extra time.

• Away from home, Denmark has not won in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (2 draws, 3 losses).
• The national team scored in 8 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
• The team conceded first in 5 of their last 7 away games in the Nations League.

Predicted lineup for Denmark (4-4-2)

Kasper Schmeichel – Jannik Vestergaard, Joakim Maehle, Rasmus Kristensen, Joachim Andersen – Christian Eriksen, Morten Hjulmand, Christian Norgaard, Jesper Lindstrom – Mika Biereth, Gustav Isaksen.

Referee

Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 9%.

Portugal vs. Denmark: Match Prediction

Brian Riemer's side deservedly won the first encounter. The Danes missed a penalty, outshot their opponents nearly threefold, and had a significant xG advantage. Now, they need to maintain their lead, but if Denmark continues in the same vein, Portugal could face further challenges.

Portugal has only kept a clean sheet against Scotland in this Nations League campaign, the lowest-scoring team in the group. Even at home, Portugal has failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive matches in this tournament. Now, they must score, leaving their vulnerable defense exposed.

The Danes have scored in 8 of their last 10 away games in the Nations League. I wouldn't be surprised if the visitors manage to find the net again. My prediction: Denmark Individual Total Over 0.5