The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Portugal and Poland in Group 1 of League A will take place on November 15 at the Estádio do Dragão in Porto. Portugal vs. Poland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Donatas Rumšas (Latvia)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Portugal vs. Poland
Portugal (4-3-3): Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Nelson Semedo, Diogo Dalot, Renato Veiga – Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, Bernardo Silva – Rafael Leao, Pedro Neto, Cristiano Ronaldo.
Poland (3-5-2): Lukasz Skorupski – Jan Bednarek, Sebastian Walukiewicz, Jakub Kiwior – Bartosz Slisz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zielinski, Kacper Urbanski, Sebastian Szymanski – Karol Swiderski, Krzysztof Piatek.
Portugal
The Portuguese confidently lead the standings of Group 1. The team started with home victories by the same scoreline of 2-1 against Croatia and Scotland, followed by an away win over Poland (3-1). In the previous round, Roberto Martinez's side dropped their first points in the current Nations League, drawing away to Scotland (0-0). To advance to the playoffs, the national team only needs to avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
- Portugal has played 22 matches in this tournament, suffering only three defeats (14 wins and 5 draws).
- The team has not conceded more than 1 goal in the last 10 Nations League matches.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in 6 of Portugal's last 7 home games in the Nations League.
Poland
Poland has only one victory in their account, which they achieved in the first round by defeating Scotland away with a score of 3-2. This was followed by two defeats – against Croatia (0-1) and Portugal (1-3), and in the last match, Poland drew 3-3 with the Balkans at home. If the national team earns more points in the fifth round than Croatia, they will keep their hopes alive for a playoff spot in the Nations League. If Poland earns more points than Scotland, they will avoid direct relegation to League B after this match.
Forward Robert Lewandowski will miss both matches in November due to injury.
- The team has not won in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches (2 draws and 5 losses).
- Poland conceded in the second half in 10 of their last 12 matches in this tournament.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Poland's last 10 away matches in the Nations League.
Portugal vs. Poland: Match Prediction
Despite the fact that a draw will suffice for the hosts in this match, I am confident they will not take risks and will aim to defeat their opponent. Especially since Portugal is very strong at home: in their last 10 home matches in the Nations League, the team has won 8, losing only to France and Spain. Meanwhile, Poland struggles against top opponents away in this tournament, securing only 3 wins in 10 away matches.
I also expect at least three goals in the match. Portugal has scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 home Nations League matches. Poland has scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament, but they have also conceded in 9 of these 10 games.
It's worth noting that Portugal has a 7-match winning streak at home at the official level. Moreover, three or more goals have been scored in six of these matches. My prediction: Home win and total over 2.5 goals