The 2024/25 Nations League final between Portugal and Spain will take place on June 8 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Portugal vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Portugal
The winners of the first Nations League campaign went through the group stage unbeaten (4 wins, 2 draws) and were the top-scoring team in their group with 13 goals. However, Roberto Martinez's side lost their first playoff match against Denmark (0-1). In the return leg, Portugal took revenge (3-2, extra time 2-0) and advanced to the semifinals. Against Germany, the team secured a comeback victory with a 2-1 scoreline, reaching the final of this tournament for the second time in their history.
- The team has conceded in five consecutive Nations League matches.
- Portugal has not lost in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament (6 wins, 2 draws).
- Portugal has scored at least one goal in 7 of their last 9 Nations League games.
Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)
Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Goncalo Inacio – Ruben Neves, Joao Neves, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva – Pedro Neto, Cristiano Ronaldo, Francisco Trincao.
Spain
Spain began their title defense confidently, securing five wins and one draw in the group stage. Luis de la Fuente's side conceded only four goals, the fewest in their group. In the quarterfinals, they drew twice with the Netherlands (2-2, 2-2, extra time 1-1) and won only in the penalty shootout (5-4). In the semifinal against France, Spain nearly squandered a four-goal lead but ultimately prevailed (5-4), reaching their third consecutive final in this tournament.
- Spain has scored at least twice in their last six Nations League matches.
- Their goal-scoring streak in this tournament stands at eight matches.
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in Spain's last six Nations League games.
Predicted lineup for Spain (4-3-3)
Unai Simon – Marc Cucurella, Dean Donny Huijsen, Robin Le Normand, Pedro Porro – Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Pedri – Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal.
Referee
Sandro Schärer (Switzerland)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Portugal vs. Spain: Match Prediction
The final opponents met in the previous Nations League edition. In the group stage, Spain did not lose to Portugal in both matches (1-1, 1-0). I believe Luis de la Fuente's side has a better chance of success in the upcoming game. However, I expect more goals this time around.
Spain had an incredible semifinal match, as France had not conceded at least five goals since 1969. Spain is unstoppable and has scored at least two goals in their last six Nations League matches. However, it should be noted that they have kept a clean sheet only once during this period. Nonetheless, the reigning European champions consistently achieve results and have not lost in official matches in regular time for over two years.
Portugal ranks third in scoring in this Nations League. The team's attack is solid, but Roberto Martinez's side needs to work on their defense. In the 2024/25 Nations League, Portugal kept a clean sheet only once, and with such defensive performances, it will be challenging against an in-form opponent. Moreover, Portugal has not beaten Spain in their last five official encounters (3 draws, 2 losses).
My prediction: Spain to win or draw and Total over 2.5 goals
