The Round 8 match of the regular stage of the Champions League 2025/26 between PSV (Netherlands) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on 28 january at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. PSV vs Bayern Munich: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
PSV
PSV suffered a heavy 0:3 defeat to Newcastle away in the last round. A poor run of four matches, during which the home side coached by Peter Bosz recorded only one win in the Champions League (one draw, two defeats), has dropped the club to 22nd place in the standings. The team will not reach the top eight, but a place in the playoffs would be secured if three points are taken in the upcoming match. It is also worth noting that the club's 12-match scoring run in the Champions League ended in the previous round, while the home side have conceded in 15 consecutive European Cup matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 11 of PSV's last 13 Champions League matches.
- On their own ground in this competition the team has not drawn in eight consecutive matches (5 wins, 3 defeats).
- In six of the last seven previous home Champions League matches the club conceded at least two goals.
Potential PSV Lineup (4-3-3)
Matej Kovarž – Armando Obispo, Sergino Dest, Jerdy Schouten, Killiann Sildillia – Joey Veerman, Paul Wanner, Mauro Junior – Dennis Man, Esmir Bajraktarevic, Noa Fernandez.
Forwards Ruben van Bommel, Alassane Pléa, Myron Boadu and Ricardo Pepi are out with injuries, as are defender Anass Salah-Eddine, goalkeeper Nick Olij and midfielder Guus Til. Defender Jarek Gasiorowski is suspended.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich recorded a 2:0 home win over Union in the last match. The sixth victory in the current tournament (one defeat) ensured the visitors a top-eight place in advance, and the team can no longer finish lower than fifth. It is worth noting that Bayern Munich kept a clean sheet for only the second time in nine recent Champions League matches in the previous round. Nevertheless, the club ranks among the top four for defensive reliability in the Champions League 2025/26, and with 20 goals scored the side are among the top three for goalscoring.
- There was a goal in both halves in five of Bayern Munich's previous seven Champions League matches.
- Away in this competition the club has not lost in five of the last six games (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The team conceded in 12 of the last 13 away Champions League matches.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Raphael Guerreiro, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Joshua Kimmich – Michael Olise, Lennart Carl, Tom Bischof, Luis Diaz, Aleksandar Pavlovic – Harry Kane.
Midfielder Konrad Laimer is sidelined through injury. Defender Kim Min Jae is suspended. Defenders Sasa Boe and Josip Stanisic have returned to full training.
Referee
João Pinheiro (Portugal)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 34;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 3.4;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Per Match – 21;
Penalties – 10%.
PSV vs Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
The home side will be highly motivated in the final round. It is unlikely that the team will play while watching the results in parallel fixtures. Despite the opponent's formidable name, the side coached by Peter Bosz must try to secure three points. At home the club has produced decent results, going unbeaten in 12 of the last 15 Champions League matches (8 wins, 4 draws). During that run PSV still managed to score even in losing games. In the current tournament the home side have one of the best goalscoring records among the middle third of teams. However, they concede a lot even relative to their level.
Bayern Munich can afford to take the match at a more relaxed pace. The prospect of finishing first given Arsenal's results looks unattainable. Nevertheless, even a possible rest for Bayern Munich's regulars is unlikely to be a consolation for PSV, as many Bayern players are capable of scoring. Away the visitors have been productive across six Champions League matches, hitting the opponents' net at least twice in five of those games. It is also worth adding that both clean sheets this season were achieved at home, while away the side conceded even against one of the two lowest-scoring teams.
Prediction: Both Teams To Score And Over 2.5 Goals
