The Matchday 4 encounter of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Girona (Spain) is set for November 5th at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. PSV vs. Girona: prediction and betting tips, odds, statistics.
Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 12 (International fixtures, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 49;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalty kicks – 42%.
Probable line-ups for the PSV vs. Girona match
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benítez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamengo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Júnior – Guus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Girona (4-3-2-1): Paulo Gazzaniga – Miguel Gutierrez, Ladislav Krejčí, Juanpe, Alejandro Frances – Ivan Martin, Yangel Herrera, Arnau Martinez – Donny van de Beek, Arnaut Danjuma – Cristhian Stuani.
PSV
The Dutch side has yet to secure a win in the Champions League group stage. The club kicked off with an away defeat to Juventus (1:3), followed by draws at home against Sporting and away to PSG (both ending 1:1). PSV has now gone six consecutive matches without a win in this competition (4 draws and 2 losses). After three rounds, Peter Bosz's charges have two points and sit in 28th place in the standings.
Midfielders Joey Veerman and Jorrit Hendrix, as well as forward Fodé Fofana and defender Adamo Nagalo, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of PSV's last 7 Champions League games.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of the last 9 European cup matches involving the Dutch team.
Girona
The Catalans claimed their first-ever victory in the Champions League and in European competitions in the previous round, defeating Slovan Bratislava 2:0 at home. Also, Michel Sanchez's team managed to keep a clean sheet in the UCL for the first time, following defeats to PSG (0:1) and Feyenoord (2:3). The win allowed them to climb to 24th place in the table.
Injuries will sideline midfielders Ivan Martin and Yaser Asprilla, defender Alejandro Frances, and forwards Arnaut Danjuma and Portu for the upcoming match.
- Girona has only two wins in their last 10 matches in the Champions League and La Liga (2 draws and 6 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of the last 9 matches involving the Catalans in these competitions.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Girona's last 6 away matches in the Champions League and La Liga.
PSV vs. Girona: match prediction
Despite the Spaniards having one more point than their opponents, it is the Dutch team that is considered the favorite for the upcoming clash. PSV boasts strong Champions League performances at home, having lost only once in their last 13 matches in regular time (6 wins and 6 draws). Furthermore, their impressive start in the Eredivisie, where PSV is comfortably leading with an average of 3.5 goals scored per match, cannot be ignored.
On the other hand, Girona is languishing in the bottom half of their domestic league table. The Catalans have seen a significant drop in their goal-scoring, coupled with major injury woes, forcing the head coach to rely on younger players. Even in La Liga, the team has struggled on the road, failing to win 5 out of 6 away matches this season. I believe that, having lost almost their entire core team in the off-season, the Catalan club has deprived itself of a chance for a successful campaign in the UCL and the championship. I think the Spaniards are unlikely to earn points in an away match against such an experienced European competitor.
My prediction is a “PSV Victory” with odds of
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