The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between PSV (Netherlands) and Juventus (Italy) will take place on February 19 at the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven. The first match ended 2-1 in favor of Juventus. PSV vs. Juventus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSV
Peter Bosz's side suffered a 1-2 loss away in the first match, conceding the decisive goal late in the game. This defeat marked only the third loss for the team in the current Champions League campaign, with each loss occurring on the road. Additionally, the club scored fewer than two goals for only the second time in their last six matches in this tournament. To advance to the next round, the Dutch team needs to win by at least two goals in regular time. Notably, the club has reached the Champions League Round of 16 only once in the last nine seasons.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last ten home matches in the Champions League (6 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 home games in this European competition.
- At least one goal has been scored in the first half of PSV's last seven home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Walter Benítez – Adamo Nagalo, Richard Ledezma, Ryan Flamingo, Mauro Júnior – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perisic, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Defender Sergiño Dest, midfielder Malik Tillman, and forward Ricardo Pepi will miss the match due to injuries. The participation of defenders Rick Karsdorp and Olivier Boscagli is in doubt.
Juventus
Thiago Motta's side secured only their second win in seven recent Champions League matches (3 draws, 2 losses) in the first match against PSV. Additionally, Juventus scored more than one goal for only the second time during this stretch. To advance to the next round, the team only needs to avoid losing after 90 minutes. If they lose by one goal, extra time will be played. Notably, the Turin club last reached the Champions League Round of 16 in the 2022/23 season.
- The club has not won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 10 away games in this European competition.
- The Turin side has not scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Juventus (4-2-3-1)
Mattia Perin – Nicolo Savona, Renato Veiga, Federico Gatti, Timothy Weah – Teun Koopmeiners, Khéphren Thuram – Francisco Conceição, Weston McKennie, Nicolas Gonzalez – Randal Kolo Muani.
Defenders Pierre Kalulu, Gleison Bremer, and Juan Cabal, midfielder Douglas Luiz, and forward Arkadiusz Milik will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Slavko Vinčić (Slovenia)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 11%.
PSV vs. Juventus: Match Prediction
At home, the Dutch side performs confidently in European competitions and regularly poses challenges to their opponents. Over the last 16 home matches in the Champions League, PSV has lost only once in regular time, securing nine victories during this stretch. In the current tournament, the team has drawn with Sporting at home and subsequently defeated Girona, Shakhtar, and Liverpool.
Juventus, on the other hand, rarely shows their best form in away matches on the European stage. Over the last nine away matches in the Champions League, the club has secured just one victory, which came against Leipzig, who underperformed in the current tournament. Furthermore, in their last three away matches, the Turin side scored only one goal and failed to find the net even against Club Brugge.
In my opinion, the Dutch side will be able to challenge Juventus on their home turf. My prediction: PSV with a handicap (0)