The Matchday 8 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Liverpool (England) will take place on January 29 at the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven. PSV vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSV
The Dutch side played their last match away, where they defeated Crvena Zvezda 3-2. This was their first away victory and their third in the group stage. Previously, the team also beat Girona (4-0) and Shakhtar Donetsk (3-2). With 11 points, Peter Bosz's men are in 19th place. To advance to the playoffs, PSV only needs to avoid defeat in the final round.
Defender Ryan Flamingo will miss the match due to suspension. Also out due to injury are defenders Sergiño Dest and Adamo Nagalo, forwards Fode Fofana and Kouhaib Drioch, and midfielder Malik Tillman.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of PSV's last 11 Champions League matches.
- PSV has not lost in 11 of their last 14 matches in this European competition (5 wins, 6 draws).
- In 12 of PSV's previous games in this tournament, one team won the first half with a clean sheet.
Liverpool
The English side was the first to secure not only advancement to the next round but also a place in the Champions League Round of 16. In their last match, Liverpool defeated Lille 2-1 at home, extending their winning streak in this European competition to seven matches. Arne Slot's side is the only team that has not dropped a point in the group stage. Notably, the team has conceded only two goals, with only Inter having a better defense in the main round, conceding just once.
Defender Joe Gomez, midfielder Curtis Jones, and forward Diogo Jota will miss the match due to injuries. Also not included in the squad are goalkeeper Alisson Becker, defenders Virgil van Dijk, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, midfielders Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, and forwards Mohamed Salah and Luis Diaz.
- The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 European matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 6 of Liverpool’s last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The English side has not drawn in 15 previous away matches in the Champions League (12 wins, 3 losses).
Predicted lineups for PSV vs. Liverpool
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benitez – Richard Ledezma, Rick Karsdorp, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Junior – Jerdy Schouten, Guus Til, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Andrew Robertson, Conor Bradley, Amara Nallo – Harvey Elliott, Wataru Endo – Cody Gakpo, Federico Chiesa, Trent Kone-Doherty – Darwin Nunez.
Referee: Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 22%.
PSV vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
Arne Slot's side has no competitive motivation in the final round of the group stage. The team cannot drop below second place, so the visitors do not need to play with full commitment or field their strongest lineup. Liverpool will likely prioritize preparing for their upcoming Premier League match against Bournemouth. This assumption was confirmed a day before the match, as it was revealed that the English team traveled without most of their first-team players.
For PSV, however, it is important to perform well in this match. Playing for a draw, which would suffice for the hosts, is risky, as they could still lose to the English side. Therefore, I believe the Dutch team will try to capitalize on the opponent’s lack of motivation and start attacking from the first minutes. Moreover, the Eindhoven club is quite strong at home, where they are unbeaten in nine consecutive Champions League matches (5 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, PSV boasts a 37-match unbeaten streak at home in the Eredivisie.
My prediction: PSV to win or draw
