Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Shakhtar Donetsk (Ukraine) will take place on November 27 at the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven. PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Urs Schnyder (Switzerland)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 23%.
Predicted lineups for PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benítez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamingo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Júnior – Guus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Shakhtar Donetsk (4-3-3): Dmytro Riznyk – Yukhym Konoplia, Valeriy Bondar, Mykola Matviyenko, Pedro Henrique Azevedo – Dmytro Kryskiv, Artem Bondarenko, Heorhiy Sudakov – Oleksandr Zubkov, Eginaldo, Danylo Sikan.
PSV
The Dutch side has suffered only one defeat in the main stage of the 2024/25 Champions League. In the first round, they lost away to Juventus (1-3). In subsequent matches, the team drew with Sporting and PSG (both 1-1) and secured their first victory in the last match, defeating Girona 4-0 at home. With five points, PSV is in 24th place, four points behind the top eight.
Midfielders Joey Veerman and Jerdy Schouten, forward Fodé Fofana, defenders Sergiño Dest, Armando Obispo, and Adamo Nagalo will miss the match due to injuries.
- Before the win over the Catalans, the Dutch had a six-match winless streak in the Champions League (4 draws and 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of PSV's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 7 of the club's last 10 Champions League matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk
The Ukrainians also secured their first victory in the current Champions League campaign last round. On neutral ground, they defeated Young Boys 2-1. Before that, the Miners had not scored, losing to Atalanta (0-3) and Arsenal (0-1), and drawing with Bologna (0-0). The club is in 28th place, just one point behind PSV.
Goalkeeper Timur Puzankov will not play due to injury.
- No more than three goals were scored in 7 of Shakhtar's last 8 Champions League games.
- In their last 11 Champions League matches, Shakhtar has drawn only once (4 wins and 6 losses).
- The Miners have not won the first half in seven consecutive away matches in this tournament (1 draw and 6 losses).
PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk: Match Prediction
It is unlikely that these teams will directly qualify for the Round of 16. They will compete to be among the top 24 to reach the Round of 32. PSV has better chances to advance. The Dutch side has decent stats in this tournament and remains unbeaten in eight consecutive home matches (4 wins and 4 draws). The Ukrainians have won only one of their last seven away matches in the Champions League (2 draws and 4 losses).
Besides expecting a home win, I anticipate both teams will score. PSV has conceded in 8 of their last 10 home Champions League matches but has scored in each of their last eight home games in this tournament. Shakhtar needs to push forward and score, taking risks and opening up. With upcoming matches against Bayern, Borussia, and Brest, this encounter with the Dutch might be their last chance to earn points in the group stage. Notably, Shakhtar has scored at least once in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.
My prediction: Home win and both teams to score – yes
