The second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025 semi-final between Racing (Argentina) and Flamengo (Brazil) will take place on October 30 at the President Juan Domingo Peron Stadium in Avellaneda. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of Flamengo. Racing vs. Flamengo: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Racing
The first semi-final encounter seemed destined for a goalless draw, which the Argentinians appeared to aim for. The club completely ceded possession to the Brazilians and barely attacked, managing only one shot on target throughout the match. However, an own goal in the 88th minute decided the game's fate. Gustavo Costas' team now needs to win by two or more goals to advance to the final. A one-goal victory would lead to penalties.
- The club has won 6 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of Racing's last 8 games in the Copa Libertadores.
- The Argentinians have won 4 consecutive home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Racing (4-4-2)
Facundo Cambeses – Gabriel Rojas, Gaston Martirena, Marcos Rojo, Nazareno Colombo – Agustin Almendra, Bruno Zuculini, Santiago Sosa, Santiago Solari Ferreira – Adrian Martinez, Tomas Conechny.
Flamengo
Filipe Luis' side got lucky at the end of the first match. However, it's worth noting that the team deserved the win, as they were much more active (72% possession) and had more attempts on goal (20:4 shots). The Brazilians also had a superior xG – 2.18:0.27. Now, they just need to avoid defeat in Argentina to reach the final for the fourth time in seven years.
- The team has not lost in 8 of their last 9 Copa Libertadores matches (6 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of Flamengo's last 7 games in this tournament.
- The Brazilians have only 2 wins in their last 14 away matches in the Copa Libertadores (6 draws and 6 losses).
Predicted lineup for Flamengo (4-3-3)
Agustin Rossi – Guillermo Varela, Leo Ortiz, Danilo, Alex Sandro – Jorginho, Erick Pulgar, Giorgian de Arrascaeta – Johnny Cardinoti Pedro, Luis Araujo, Jorge Carrascal.
Referee
Piero Maza (Chile)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 57;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 23%.
Racing vs. Flamengo: Match Prediction
The second match is likely to be low-scoring, with a lot of midfield battles. The stakes are high, and both teams will try to avoid mistakes. Even the Argentinians, who need to attack and recover, will likely keep a strong defense. After all, the Brazilians could capitalize on a counterattack, making it nearly impossible to score twice in return.
The Argentinians are very strong at home, having kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 Copa Libertadores matches. They often score in home games in this tournament. Flamengo is well aware of the hosts' capabilities, so they might play the second leg similarly to how the Argentinians approached the first – sitting deep in their penalty area. Moreover, the Brazilians have been mediocre away from home. In Flamengo's last 8 away matches in the Copa Libertadores, no more than two goals were scored.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
