La Liga
Regular Season (23)
Rayo Vallecano
4 March
13:00
(EST)
Real Oviedo
1
-142
X
+275
2
+450
TU 2.5
-142
TO 2.5
+120

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: prediction & betting odds March 4, 2026

The matchday 23 La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo will take place on 7 February at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in Madrid. Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Rayo Vallecano

Last weekend, Rayo Vallecano suffered a hugely painful derby defeat against Real Madrid (1:2). The decisive goal came from a penalty in the 100th minute, with Rayo Vallecano finishing the game a man down. The club fought hard, but it has now lost three straight La Liga matches. Notably, before this run, the team had failed to collect points in only three of their previous 12 league games. As a result, one of Spain’s European representatives has dropped into the relegation zone. However, the standings are so tight that the Madrid side are just three points off 10th place.

  • In the current La Liga season, Rayo Vallecano have scored 18 goals in total — only Getafe (16) and Real Oviedo (12) have fewer.
  • The club have avoided defeat in six of their last seven La Liga home matches (two wins, four draws).
  • The team have conceded in six consecutive matches in this competition.

Potential Rayo Vallecano Lineup (4-2-3-1)*

Augusto Batalla – Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Pep Chavarria – Pathé Ciss, Gerard Gumbau – Isi Palazon, Ilyas Akhomach, Alvaro Garcia – Jorge De Frutos.

Defender Pep Chavarria and midfielder Pathé Ciss are suspended. The involvement of midfielder Unai Lopez is in doubt.

Real Oviedo

Their last league game against Girona ended with a long-awaited 1:0 victory for the club. Real Oviedo finally brought an end to a tough winless run, which had stretched to 14 La Liga matches (seven draws, seven defeats). Overall, the team have picked up three points in only their third of the last 22 matches in the current La Liga season. After the round, the Asturians have at least slightly improved their position in the table. Real Oviedo remain 20th, but the gap to safety in 17th has been reduced to seven points.

  • In away matches this league campaign, the club have collected five points in total — only Elche (four) have fewer.
  • At least one team have failed to score in nine of the Asturians’ last 12 La Liga games.
  • Real Oviedo’s winless away run in La Liga now stands at seven matches (two draws, five defeats).

Potential Real Oviedo Lineup (4-2-3-1)*

Aaron Escandell – Javi Lopez, David Costas, David Carmo, Nacho Vidal – Santiago Colombatto, Kwasi Sibo – Haissem Hassan, Ilyas Chaira, Alberto Reina – Federico Vinas.

Midfielder Ovie Ejaria is unavailable due to injury. Defender Rahim Alhassan is a doubt for the match.

Referee

Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)

Matches – 12 (La Liga, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;

Red cards shown – 2;

Fouls per match on average – 22;

Penalties – 42%.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: Match Prediction

Rayo Vallecano are going through a very difficult period. A few days ago, the club suffered a third straight La Liga defeat — a run they had not endured since November–December 2024. As a result, the Madrid side, who have been representing Spain successfully in the Conference League, have slipped into the relegation zone. Perhaps it is no surprise, given that over the last 12 rounds the team have recorded just one hard-fought win, against Mallorca (2:1).

Real Oviedo, meanwhile, should be encouraged, having ended a 14-match winless run in the Spanish top flight last weekend. Across the last six matches in this competition, the club have suffered only two defeats. Even in those losses, it is worth noting that the Asturians were very close to a draw against Osasuna (2:3), while away to Barcelona the team lost without much of a chance of taking points (0:3).

Even if Rayo Vallecano do everything they can to improve their situation, another tough game awaits the hosts.

Prediction: Real Oviedo (+1)

* For each team, the starting XI shown is from their previous match in this competition.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

La Liga: previous matches of the tournament

Rayo Vallecano
02/28/26
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
T
02/21/26
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
T
02/15/26
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
W
02/01/26
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
L
01/24/26
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
L
01/18/26
Celta
Rayo Vallecano
L
01/11/26
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
W
01/02/26
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
T
12/21/25
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
L
12/15/25
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
T
12/07/25
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
L
12/01/25
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
T
11/23/25
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
T
11/09/25
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
T
11/01/25
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
L
10/26/25
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés
W
10/19/25
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
W
10/05/25
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
W
09/28/25
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
L
09/24/25
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
L
09/21/25
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
T
09/14/25
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
L
08/31/25
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
T
08/25/25
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
L
08/15/25
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
W
More games
Real Oviedo
02/28/26
Real Oviedo
Atlético Madrid
L
02/21/26
Real Sociedad
Real Oviedo
T
02/15/26
Real Oviedo
Athletic Bilbao
L
01/31/26
Real Oviedo
Girona
W
01/25/26
Barcelona
Real Oviedo
L
01/17/26
Osasuna
Real Oviedo
L
01/10/26
Real Oviedo
Real Betis
T
01/04/26
Alavés
Real Oviedo
T
12/20/25
Real Oviedo
Celta
T
12/14/25
Sevilla
Real Oviedo
L
12/05/25
Real Oviedo
Mallorca
T
11/29/25
Atlético Madrid
Real Oviedo
L
11/23/25
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
T
11/09/25
Athletic Bilbao
Real Oviedo
L
11/03/25
Real Oviedo
Osasuna
T
10/25/25
Girona
Real Oviedo
T
10/17/25
Real Oviedo
Espanyol
L
10/04/25
Real Oviedo
Levante
L
09/30/25
Valencia
Real Oviedo
W
09/25/25
Real Oviedo
Barcelona
L
09/21/25
Elche
Real Oviedo
L
09/13/25
Getafe
Real Oviedo
L
08/30/25
Real Oviedo
Real Sociedad
W
08/24/25
Real Oviedo
Real Madrid
L
08/15/25
Villarreal
Real Oviedo
L
More games

Head-to-Head: Rayo Vallecano — Real Oviedo

La Liga 2025/26
11/23/25
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2 2019-2020
02/09/20
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
12/01/19
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
1
La Liga 2 2017-2018
01/13/18
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
2
:
2
08/20/17
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
3
La Liga 2 2016-2017
03/19/17
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
2
:
0
10/09/16
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
0

Other matches

1 X 2
TU TO
March 03
1 -166
X +280
2 +500
TU 2.5 -109
2.5
TO 2.5 -109
March 03
1 -109
X +245
2 +330
TU 2.5 -136
2.5
TO 2.5 +110
March 03
1 +150
X +260
2 +175
TU 2.5 +130
2.5
TO 2.5 -163
March 03
1 -222
X +425
2 +475
TU 2.5 +260
2.5
TO 2.5 -344
March 03
1 -175
X +325
2 +460
TU 2.5 +120
2.5
TO 2.5 -142
Show all
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