Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League group stage between RB Leipzig (Germany) and Aston Villa (England) will take place on December 10 at the Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig vs. Aston Villa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 45%.
Predicted lineups for RB Leipzig vs. Aston Villa
RB Leipzig (3-4-2-1): Péter Gulácsi – El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Willi Orban, Lukas Klostermann – Antonio Nusa, Kevin Kampl, Arthur Vermeeren, Benjamin Henrichs – Christoph Baumgartner, Yussuf Poulsen – Lois Openda.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martínez – Lucas Digne, Matty Cash, Diego Carlos, Pau Torres – Ross Barkley, Youri Tielemans – John McGinn, Jaden Philogene, Morgan Rogers – Ollie Watkins.
RB Leipzig
In the previous round, the team suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Inter. An own goal decided the match. This defeat marked the fifth consecutive loss for the Germans. As a result, Marco Rose's side, along with Young Boys and Slovan, have yet to earn a point in the group stage. To advance to the Champions League playoffs, they need to be among the top 24 teams, and they are currently six points behind the nearest competitor in this zone.
Defender Castello Lukeba will miss the game due to suspension. Midfielders Xavi Simons and Elif Elmas, defenders El Chadaille Bitshiabu and David Raum, and forward Yussuf Poulsen are sidelined due to injuries.
- The club has not tasted victory in the Champions League for seven matches (1 draw and 6 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 10 of RB Leipzig's last 13 matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals were scored in 10 of the last 14 games for the Germans in the Champions League.
Aston Villa
The English side started confidently in their debut Champions League campaign, winning three consecutive matches. However, they failed to score in the next two games. First, they lost 0-1 away to Club Brugge, then drew 0-0 at home with Juventus. Unai Emery's side fell out of the top eight, although three teams above them, also with 10 points, are ahead of Aston Villa only on additional criteria.
Forward Leon Bailey and midfielder Jacob Ramsey will miss the match due to injuries.
- At least one team failed to score in six of Birmingham's previous matches in the Champions League and Europa League.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 European matches.
- The club has not conceded in the first half in their last five European matches.
RB Leipzig vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction
To qualify for the Champions League Round of 16, the Germans need to win all three remaining matches. The chance to finish in the top 24 is minimal, but it still exists. The upcoming match will be the most challenging, requiring the team to play extremely carefully in defense. Yes, RB Leipzig has lost all five group stage matches, but they conceded only one goal each against Liverpool and Inter.
Additionally, in their last five home Champions League matches, the Germans conceded more than one goal only once. Moreover, in the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig has allowed their opponents to score two or more goals in just one of their last 13 home games. Birmingham, on the other hand, scored more than one goal against only two teams – Young Boys and Bologna – in five group stage matches. It's also worth noting that Aston Villa has been struggling in the Premier League, scoring just one goal in their last three away league matches and losing all three.
My prediction – Aston Villa Individual Total Under 1.5
