The Matchday 16 clash in the Bundesliga between Leipzig and Werder will take place on January 12 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Werder: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Tobias Reichel (Germany)
Matches – 6 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 67%.
Predicted lineups for Leipzig vs. Werder
Leipzig (3-3-2-2): Peter Gulacsi – Lutsharel Geertruida, Willi Orban, Nicolas Seiwald – Antonio Nusa, Xaver Schlager, Benjamin Henrichs – Arthur Vermeeren, Christoph Baumgartner – Benjamin Sesko, Lois Openda.
Werder (3-3-2-2): Michael Zetterer – Anthony Jung, Marco Friedl, Niklas Stark – Derrick Kohn, Senne Lynen, Mitchell Weiser – Romano Schmid, Jens Stage – Marvin Ducksch, Marco Grüll.
Each team's lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Leipzig
In Matchday 15, Marco Rose's side suffered a 1-5 defeat to Bayern. The club's recent performances in the league have been disappointing, with Leipzig securing just two wins in their last seven matches (1 draw, 4 losses). They currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga standings, with Mainz trailing only on goal difference. Notably, in home matches this season, the club has conceded just seven goals, a record bettered only by Bayern and Union Berlin.
Due to health issues, key defender Benjamin Henrichs will not play.
- At least three goals have been scored in 4 of Leipzig's last 5 home matches in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 13 of their last 14 home games in the Bundesliga.
- Both teams scored at least twice in the first half in 4 of the club's last 5 league matches.
Werder
In the previous round, the team defeated Union 4-1. This result extended Ole Werner's side's unbeaten run in the league to four matches (3 wins, 1 draw). These successes have lifted the club to seventh in the Bundesliga standings, their highest position this season. Werder is only behind Borussia Dortmund, the nearest team in the European competition zone, on goal difference. Notably, the team has already collected 16 points in away Bundesliga matches this season, a tally surpassed only by Bayern (17).
- The club has not lost in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament (6 wins, 2 draws).
- Werder has not conceded more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 away games in the league.
- At least three goals have been scored in 15 of the team's last 21 Bundesliga matches.
Leipzig vs. Werder: Match Prediction
Marco Rose's side has not struggled in attack in recent Bundesliga matches, scoring in their last 5 league games. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding in 4 of their last 5 matches in this tournament, with opponents scoring at least four times in 3 of these games.
Werder also has defensive shortcomings in the Bundesliga, conceding in 11 of their last 13 matches in this tournament. However, they appear more confident in attack, scoring in 8 of their last 9 league games.
Head-to-head statistics also suggest a likelihood of both teams scoring. Both sides have found the net in their last 5 league encounters. I expect the upcoming match to follow this trend. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
