The Matchday 23 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will take place on February 8 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
Carlo Ancelotti's side suffered a shocking defeat to Espanyol (0-1) in the last round. Before that, the club was unbeaten in six consecutive league matches, securing five wins and one draw. It's worth noting that this was only the second time this season that the capital team failed to score in La Liga. Real remains in the lead, but their gap with Atletico has narrowed to a minimum, and Barcelona is just four points away.
Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Real's last 8 La Liga games.
- The club has won 29 of their last 34 home league matches (4 draws and 1 loss).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in the first half in 11 of their last 13 home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Thibaut Courtois – Aurelien Tchouameni, Lucas Vazquez, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos – Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappe.
Atletico Madrid
The team ended a brief winless streak in La Liga, which included a loss to Leganes (0-1) and a draw with Villarreal (1-1). In the last round, the Madrid side defeated Mallorca (2-0) at home. Thanks to Real's slip-up, Diego Simeone's men have closed the gap to just one point. It's also worth mentioning that Atletico's defense remains the best in the league, having conceded only 14 goals.
Defender Robin Le Normand will miss the derby due to yellow card accumulation. Defender Javi Galan is out with an injury.
- No more than three goals have been scored in Atletico's last six La Liga matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final scoreline in 8 of Atletico's last 9 away La Liga games.
- The club has won the second half in 10 of their last 11 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Reinildo Mandava, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Clement Lenglet – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.
Referee
Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
Matches – 12 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 8%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid
The upcoming match is unlikely to be high-scoring, as the stakes are high, and any mistake could significantly decrease the chances of winning the championship. Therefore, I believe the opponents will focus primarily on defending their goals, a task at which Atletico excels. Diego Simeone's side has only conceded more than one goal away from home once in La Liga this season, but they have also failed to score more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 away league matches.
Madrid derbies are rarely high-scoring affairs. Three or more goals have been scored in only two of the last 11 La Liga meetings. At the Santiago Bernabeu, the teams have not scored more than two goals in nine consecutive league encounters. I believe this trend will continue, as even a single goal could decide the outcome. I think the clubs will avoid taking risks and launching full-scale attacks.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
