The Matchday 3 fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Real Madrid (Spain) and Juventus (Italy) will take place on October 22 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Juventus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
In the previous round, Xabi Alonso's team traveled to face Kairat and confidently secured three points with a 5-0 victory. The main contribution came from forward Kylian Mbappe, who scored his third away hat-trick in the Champions League, moving him to the top of the current tournament's scoring chart with five goals. This result marked Real Madrid's biggest Champions League win since the 2021/22 season and was their first clean sheet in eight European fixtures. In the standings, the Madrid team is in second place with six points.
- The team has not lost in 19 of their last 21 home matches in the Champions League (16 wins, 3 draws).
- Real Madrid players have scored at least twice in 8 of their last 10 home games in this European competition.
- The Madrid team has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-5-1)
Thibaut Courtois – Álvaro Carreras, Raúl Asensio, Éder Militão, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé.
Defenders Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, David Alaba, and Dean Heisen, as well as midfielder Dani Ceballos, will miss the game due to injuries. Additionally, defender Dani Carvajal is suspended.
Juventus
Igor Tudor's side missed out on a victory against Villarreal in their last away match, allowing the opponent to equalize in the final moments (2-2). Consequently, Juventus failed to win for the eighth time in their last ten Champions League matches (5 draws, 3 losses). Moreover, in 4 of their last 5 European fixtures, the club conceded at least two goals. The Turin side has two points, placing them only 23rd in the standings. Notably, the team has not lost in 7 of their last 8 encounters with Spanish opponents in the overall or group stage of the Champions League (4 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has not won in 10 of their last 11 away matches in the Champions League (5 draws, 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Juventus' last 10 away games in this European competition.
- The Turin side conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Juventus (3-4-3)
Michele Di Gregorio – Federico Gatti, Lloyd Kelly, Daniele Rugani – Andrea Cambiaso, Khéphren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Pierre Kalulu – Francisco Conceição, Lois Openda, Kenan Yildiz.
Defenders Gleison Bremer and Juan Cabal are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 19 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 21%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Juventus
There is no doubt about the attacking potential of Real Madrid – they regularly score at home. The last match in which the team failed to score at home in the Champions League was against CSKA Moscow in 2018. Additionally, in the current edition of this European competition, the royal club has already scored seven goals, ranking behind only Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund (8 each). However, Madrid has not kept a clean sheet in their last 12 home Champions League matches.
Juventus scored six goals in the first two rounds of the current Champions League and generally has no issues with scoring. Even away, the Turin side scores regularly: in 13 of their last 17 away matches in this European competition, they found the net, and in seven of those games, they scored at least twice. However, defensive errors often prevent victories: in their last 11 away Champions League matches, Juventus has kept a clean sheet only twice.
I expect both teams to be effective in attack, and my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
