The Matchday 29 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Leganes will take place on March 29 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Leganes: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The capital club approaches this round after two hard-fought 2-1 victories in the league. First, they defeated Rayo Vallecano at home, and then they managed an away win against Villarreal. Carlo Ancelotti's side currently sits in second place in the standings. After 28 matches played in the current La Liga season, the club has scored 59 goals, which is the second-best result in the league (Barcelona leads with 75 goals).
- No more than three goals have been scored in Real Madrid's last eight La Liga matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 league games.
- The club has won 6 of their last 7 home games in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Raul Asensio, Federico Valverde, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham – Brahim Diaz, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.
Due to injuries, goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois, defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal, and midfielder Dani Ceballos are unavailable.
Leganes
Borja Jimenez's side has lost their last two La Liga matches. They were defeated away by Celta (1-2) and at home by Betis (2-3). It's worth noting that this season, the club from the outskirts of Madrid only lost three consecutive matches at the start of the league. Leganes is in the relegation zone but only trails Alaves, who are in the safe 17th spot, on goal difference.
- The club has won just one of their last eight La Liga matches (2 draws and 5 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Leganes' last 10 league matches.
- In 6 of their last 7 away matches in La Liga, the second half ended in a draw.
Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-5-1)
Marko Dmitrovic – Matija Nastasic, Valentin Rosier, Javi Hernandez Carrera, Sergio Gonzalez – Juan Cruz, Ivan Neyu, Seydouba Cisse, Darko Brasanac, Renato Tapia – Dani Raba.
Defender Borna Barisic is out due to injury.
Referee
Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 7%.
Real Madrid vs. Leganes: Match Prediction
Real Madrid is incredibly strong at home, having lost only once in their last 37 La Liga matches – to Barcelona. During this period, the club has secured 31 wins and five draws. This season, Real Madrid has played 13 home matches in La Liga, winning nine of them by a margin of two or more goals. The team is focused solely on securing three points in the upcoming game, as any slip-ups could see them fall further behind league leaders Barcelona.
Leganes has played 14 away matches in the current La Liga season but has managed just one win. They enter the upcoming match on a three-game losing streak away in the league, with a goal difference of 1-7 in those games. Additionally, over the last eight years, the opponents have met four times at the Santiago Bernabeu, with Real Madrid emerging victorious in each encounter. In 3 of these 4 meetings, Madrid won by a large margin.
My prediction – Real Madrid with a handicap (-1.5)