The Matchday 36 La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca will take place on May 14 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Madrid side played an excellent match in the last round away against Barcelona. However, even after taking a two-goal lead, the capital club still ended up losing (3-4). Notably, Kylian Mbappe scored a hat-trick in this match and became the first player in the club's history to score such a number of goals against the Catalans but still lost El Clasico. As a result, the gap from Barcelona is now seven points, which, with three rounds to go, indicates that Carlo Ancelotti's men will end the season without trophies. The Italian coach will leave Madrid at the end of the season, and Xabi Alonso will take over the team.
- The team has won 7 of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Real Madrid's last 10 La Liga matches.
- Madrid opened the scoring in 10 of their last 12 league encounters.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia, Aurelien Tchouameni – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Due to injuries, goalkeeper Andriy Lunin, defenders Lucas Vazquez, David Alaba, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, and Dani Carvajal, midfielders Brahim Diaz and Eduardo Camavinga, as well as forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinicius Junior, are unavailable. Defender Antonio Rudiger is suspended for six matches and also out for two months due to injury. Additionally, midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Mallorca
The islanders have not won or scored in three consecutive La Liga matches. In this series, the team drew with Leganes (0-0) and lost 0-1 to Barcelona and Girona. In the last round, this unsuccessful streak in the league was broken – Valladolid was defeated 2-1 at home. The victory allowed them to keep hopes alive for a spot in European competitions. Currently, the team is ninth but is only behind Rayo Vallecano, who are above them, on tiebreakers.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 11 league matches (4 draws and 4 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of Mallorca's last 11 league games.
- The islanders have lost only one first half in their last 10 La Liga matches (3 wins and 6 draws).
Predicted lineup for Mallorca (4-5-1)
Dominik Greif – Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Pablo Maffeo, Joan Mojica – Takuma Asano, Sergi Darder, Dani Rodriguez, Omar Mascarell, Samu Costa – Vedat Muriqi.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 39%.
Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: Match Prediction
The capital club had a chance to at least partially salvage a failed season, but in the head-to-head with Barcelona, the team lost. Notably, Madrid has lost all four El Clasico matches this season (including the loss in extra time in the Copa del Rey final). After another setback from the Catalans, Real Madrid players are likely not in the best shape, and considering the club has already secured a spot in the Champions League, they lack motivation for the final three rounds.
The islanders should take advantage of this state of the hosts. Mallorca does not offer a spectacular game, but defeating them is not easy. Jagoba Arrasate's men have not lost by two or more goals in 13 consecutive La Liga matches. Madrid, too, has not been convincing with dominant wins: in the last 10 league games, they have won seven times with a minimal difference and lost three times. Additionally, in the last four head-to-head meetings in the league, the islanders have not lost by more than one goal.
My prediction – Mallorca with a handicap (+1.5)
