The match of the 4th round of the group stage of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League between Real Madrid (Spain) and AC Milan (Italy) will take place on November 5th at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 11 (International fixtures, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 40;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 22;
Penalties – 0%.
Lineups for Real Madrid vs AC Milan
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Lucas Vazquez, Eder Militao, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Emerson Royal, Malik Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Filippo Terracciano – Tidjany Reinders, Youssef Fofana – Samuel Chukwueze, Christian Pulisic, Noah Okafor – Alvaro Morata.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards delighted their fans in the last match, thrashing Borussia Dortmund with a score of 5:2. Although Real Madrid lost the first half (0:2), all five goals were scored after the 60th minute. This was the second home victory over a Bundesliga representative in the group stage (Stuttgart was defeated in the first round 3:1), and the only defeat came in an away match against Lille (0:1). So far, Real Madrid is only in 12th place in the league table.
Defenders David Alaba and Dani Carvajal will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has lost only once in regular time in their last 16 Champions League matches (11 wins and 4 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 out of 9 of Real's previous games in this tournament.
- Real Madrid's unbeaten streak at Santiago Bernabeu in this European competition is 15 matches (12 wins and 3 draws).
AC Milan
Under Paulo Fonseca, AC Milan had a poor start to the group stage of the Champions League, losing in the first two rounds to Liverpool (1:3) and Bayer Leverkusen (0:1). The Milanese managed to break their losing streak in the last match – defeating Club Brugge at home (3:1). Before that, the team had not scored more than two goals in the Champions League over 14 encounters. This victory is only the third for Milan in their last 12 matches in this tournament (3 draws and 6 losses).
Defenders Matteo Gabbia and Alessandro Florenzi, midfielder Ismael Bennacer, and forward Luka Jovic will miss the game due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 5 out of the last 6 AC Milan's Champions League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 out of the last 7 matches involving the Italians in this competition.
- The club failed to score in the second half in 6 out of the last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Real Madrid vs AC Milan: Prediction
In the new season, the Spaniards have suffered only two defeats at the official level, but both were extremely painful for Carlo Ancelotti's charges. The loss to Lille, which hardly counts as a serious opponent, revealed problems in the club's attack, and the crushing 0:4 defeat to Barcelona led to a 6-point gap from the Catalans in La Liga. Real Madrid needs to regain lost ground not only in the domestic league but also in the European competition, so the Spanish club will put maximum effort into the upcoming matches.
AC Milan so far has not been impressive either in their domestic league or in the Champions League. In Serie A, the team is outside the European competition spots, and in the Champions League, they have only gained points in the encounter with Brugge.
I am confident that the hosts will win the upcoming match. After all, Real Madrid always plays powerfully at home in the Champions League. And the Italians rarely win away in this tournament – in their last 14 matches, they have only three victories (4 draws and 7 losses).
Therefore, my prediction is a Real Madrid Victory.
