The Matchday 27 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will take place on March 9 at the Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Madrid side suffered another defeat, this time in an away match against Real Betis (1-2). In the last five rounds, the club has only one victory, with two draws and two losses. Due to this poor run in La Liga, Carlo Ancelotti's team has slipped to third in the standings and is now three points behind Barcelona. Atletico Madrid is also two points ahead.
- No more than three goals were scored in Real Madrid's last six La Liga matches.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Madrid's last 10 league games.
- The club has won 5 of their last 6 home matches in La Liga (1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – David Alaba, Ferland Mendy, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Brahim Diaz – Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.
Defenders Jesus Vallejo, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Dani Ceballos, are out due to injuries.
Rayo Vallecano
The team has not tasted victory in their last three league matches. During this stretch, they lost 0-1 to Barcelona and Villarreal and drew 1-1 with Sevilla. Notably, before this, the club had a nine-match unbeaten run in La Liga (5 wins and 4 draws). Inigo Perez's side is in seventh place, just two points away from the European competition zone.
- No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 league games.
- The club conceded exactly 1 goal in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- The first half ended in a draw in 5 of Madrid's last 6 league encounters.
Predicted lineup for Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Augusto Batalla – Florian Lejeune, Andrei Ratiu, Pep Chavarría, Abdul Mumin – Pathé Ciss, Pedro Diaz – Oscar Trejo, Alvaro Garcia, Randy Nteka – Adrian Embarba.
Midfielder Jorge de Frutos will miss the match due to suspension, while midfielder Isi Palazon and defender Abdul Mumin are out with injuries.
Referee
Francisco José Hernández Maeso (Spain)
Matches – 13 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano
Carlo Ancelotti's side will be coming off a tough Champions League Round of 16 match, where they won the first leg at home against Atletico. The team is also in poor form in the domestic league, having only defeated Girona (2-0) in their last five matches.
Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano has only lost to Barcelona and Villarreal, both by a narrow 0-1 margin, in their last 12 La Liga games. Beating this team is incredibly difficult, and in the current La Liga season, only Las Palmas has managed to defeat Madrid with a margin of more than one goal. Additionally, Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have played to a draw in their last three league encounters, and Madrid has not beaten their local rivals by two or more goals in their last 10 La Liga meetings.
Therefore, with a safety net, my prediction is: Rayo Vallecano with a handicap (+2)
