The Matchday 38 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will take place on May 24 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
Despite significant injury issues, the Madrid side secured victories in their last two league matches. They first defeated Mallorca at home (2-1) and then overcame Sevilla away (2-0). Notably, they managed to beat Sevilla only after the hosts were reduced to nine men. The club will finish the season in second place in the standings, a position they cannot be moved from.
- Real Madrid has won 9 of their last 11 La Liga matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 home league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of the last 10 home league matches for the club.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Andriy Lunin – Jesus Vallejo, Fran Garcia, Jacobo Ramon, Federico Valverde – Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Defenders David Alaba, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, and Dani Carvajal, midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, and forwards Endrick Felipe and Rodrygo Goes are out due to injuries. Defender Antonio Rudiger is suspended for six matches and also sidelined for two months due to injury. Midfielder Jude Bellingham will miss the game due to yellow card accumulation. The participation of forward Vinicius Junior, midfielder Brahim Diaz, and defender Raul Asensio in the final match is doubtful.
Real Sociedad
Imanol Alguacil's side defeated Girona 3-2 at home in the last round. Before this, the team had gone six league matches without a win, drawing twice and suffering four losses. This streak cost the club a chance to qualify for European competitions, as they currently sit in 11th place, five points behind the top eight.
- At least three goals have been scored in 12 of the last 17 league matches for the Basques.
- Real Sociedad has won only 1 of their last 10 away La Liga matches (2 draws, 7 losses).
- The club has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Sociedad (4-3-3)
Alejandro Remiro – Amari Traore, Javi Lopez, Igor Zubeldia, Aritz Elustondo – Martin Zubimendi, Pablo Marin Tejada, Brais Mendez – Ander Barrenetxea, Takefusa Kubo, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Referee
Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 44%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
Real Madrid concludes this season without any trophies. Additionally, the team is dealing with a packed injury list at the end of the championship. Without tournament motivation, Real Madrid does not need to push forward aggressively to defeat their opponent by a large margin. Even without such injury issues and while still in contention for the championship, Real Madrid has not been winning confidently – only one victory by two or more goals in their last 12 La Liga matches.
I believe the hosts will drop points, or the victory will be minimal. This is despite Carlo Ancelotti's farewell match at Real Madrid. The players are eager to rest and avoid new injuries, as they have club World Cup matches in mid-June. Real Sociedad has not lost by more than one goal in 9 of their last 11 league matches. Additionally, they have not lost by such a margin in 7 of their last 10 head-to-head La Liga encounters.
My prediction: Real Sociedad with a handicap (+1.5)
