The Matchday 26 La Liga clash between Real Oviedo and Atletico de Madrid will take place on 28 February at the Carlos Tartiere Stadium. Real Oviedo vs Atletico de Madrid: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Real Oviedo
Their last La Liga match ended in a thrilling away draw against Real Sociedad (3:3). During the game, the team went 2 goals up, but then had to rescue a point right at the death. Real Oviedo now have just one win from their last 17 matches in the Spanish top flight. The club still sit bottom of the standings, eight points adrift of 17th place, albeit with a game in hand. It is also worth adding that the Asturians continue to be the lowest scorers in La Liga, with just 16 goals netted in total this season.
- The team have avoided defeat in six of their last seven home matches in La Liga (one win, five draws).
- At least two goals have been scored in six of Real Oviedo's previous seven matches in this competition.
- The Asturians have kept a clean sheet in five of their previous seven league home games.
Potential Real Oviedo Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Aaron Escandell - Javi Lopez, Eric Bailly, David Carmo, Nacho Vidal - Nicolas Fonseca, Kwasi Sibo - Haissem Hassan, Ilyas Chaira, Alberto Reina - Federico Vinas.
Defender David Costas and midfielder Ovie Ejaria are unavailable due to injuries. Midfielder Santiago Colombatto has served his suspension.
Atletico de Madrid
Last Saturday, the club secured a comeback - but convincing - home win over Espanyol (4:2). That result saw Atletico end a three-match winless run in La Liga, scoring more than they had managed across the previous four rounds combined (three goals). Just as importantly, the side did not let Villarreal close in, while the gap to fifth place has increased to six points. The team have now gone three straight league matches without keeping a clean sheet, but overall, since the start of the season Atletico have conceded 23 goals - only Real Madrid have a better record by that metric (21).
- The side have failed to win five of their last six away matches in La Liga (two draws, three defeats).
- The club have scored more than once in just one of their previous seven away games in this competition.
- Eight of Atletico's last 11 away matches in La Liga have produced under 2.5 goals.
Potential Atletico de Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Jan Oblak - Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri - Johnny Cardoso, Giuliano Simeone, Alex Baena, Ademola Lookman - Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Sorloth.
Midfielder Rodrigo Mendoza has served his suspension. Midfielders Pablo Barrios and Nicolas Gonzalez are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
Matches - 13 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) - 50;
Average yellow cards per match - 3.8;
Red cards shown - 3;
Average fouls per match - 23;
Penalties - 38%.
Real Oviedo vs Atletico de Madrid: Match Prediction
Real Oviedo still have plenty of unresolved issues, but at least their scoring has gradually started to improve. A week ago, the home team struck three times away at Real Sociedad, and overall the Asturians have found the net in six of their previous seven La Liga matches. The club's current scoring run at home in the top flight stands at three games, having previously gone six consecutive matches without scoring.
Atletico remain one of the most reliable sides in La Liga, but the number of defensive mistakes has been rising of late. After a three-match clean-sheet run in the league, the visitors have now gone just as long without shutting opponents out, conceding six goals in total across their three February games in this competition. Coping with opposing pressure is usually tougher away than at home, so in their last six away league matches Atletico have kept a clean sheet only twice.
Prediction: Real Oviedo to score - Yes
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their most recent match in this competition.
