Roma Form
Associazione Sportiva Roma are in deep crisis, having failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions. After a dramatic Europa League elimination to Bologna in midweek and a league defeat to Como (1:2), morale at the capital club is low. The season for the Rome outfit is now entirely focused on finishing in the top four, but the current instability has put that target at risk. Even so, the gap to the Champions League places is only three points.
- In 25 of their last 26 home league games, Associazione Sportiva Roma have not conceded more than one goal.
- The team have not won 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches (1 draw, 3 defeats).
- On home soil, the club have not scored more than two goals in 23 of their last 24 league matches.
Potential Associazione Sportiva Roma Lineup (3-5-2)*
Pierluigi Gollini – Zeki Celik, Jan Zelkovski, Daniele Gilardi – Kostas Tsimikas, Bryan Cristante, Niccolo Pisilli, Gianluca Mancini, Neil El-Aynaoui – Lorenzo Pellegrini, Matias Soule.
Paulo Dybala, Artem Dovbyk, Evan Ferguson and Matias Soule are on the injury list.
Lecce Form
Under Eusebio Di Francesco, this season has been a constant battle for survival in the top flight. The visitors come into the game in dismal form, with three defeats in their last four league rounds. The club have looked extremely unconvincing against teams from the top half of the standings, collecting only four points in those matches this season. Their away record also offers little encouragement: five defeats in their last six games on the road.
- Unione Sportiva Lecce have not won 9 of their last 10 away league matches (3 draws, 6 defeats).
- The team have lost all seven league games this season in which they were behind at half-time.
- In 9 of their last 10 away games in the Serie A, the club have failed to score.
Potential Unione Sportiva Lecce Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Vladimiro Falcone – Danilo Veiga, Jamil Zibert, Thiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo – Ylber Ramadani, Umar Ngom – Santiago Pierotti, Lassana Coulibaly, Lameck Banda – Nikola Stulic
Match Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches – 9 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 33%.
Roma vs Lecce: Match Prediction
The Rome side dominate the head-to-head, having avoided defeat to Lecce at home in their last 18 meetings (16 wins, 2 draws). Despite the current winless run and squad absences, the hosts’ overall quality is significantly higher. The visitors look extremely vulnerable away from home, especially against strong teams, and they also have a poor record at the Stadio Olimpico.
We expect Gasperini to find a way to break down the away side’s defence in the second half, drawing on Associazione Sportiva Roma’s familiar effectiveness after the break. Given that Unione Sportiva Lecce often collapse against higher-status opponents and have major difficulties away from home, a convincing home win looks like the most likely scenario.
Prediction: Associazione Sportiva Roma (-1.5)
* For each team, the starting XI from their last match in this competition is listed.
