The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between San Marino and Gibraltar in Group 1 of League D will take place on November 15 at the Olympic Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Gibraltar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Igor Pajač (Croatia)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 11%.
Predicted lineups for San Marino vs. Gibraltar
San Marino (4-5-1): Edoardo Colombo – Giacomo Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Dante Carlos Rossi, Filippo Fabbri – Andrea Contadini, Matteo Vitaioli, Marcello Mularoni, Matteo Casadei, Nico Sensoli – Nicola Nanni.
Gibraltar (4-3-3): Bradley Banda – Jack Sergeant, Louie Annesley, Ethan Britto, Jayce Olivero – Anthony Hernandez, Liam Walker, Alain Pons – Lee Casciaro, Reece Styche, Tjay De Barr.
San Marino
Roberto Cevoli's side had a break in the last round and filled the pause with a friendly against Andorra, which they lost 0-2. San Marino has three points from two matches, and a win over Liechtenstein will secure them the top spot in the group and a direct promotion to League C. A draw would also suffice, but in that case, they must win against Liechtenstein in the final round to top the group.
Midfielder Michael Battistini will miss the game due to a yellow card suspension.
- The team has lost in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Nations League.
- San Marino has not conceded more than two goals in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
- A maximum of two goals have been scored in regular time in 11 of San Marino's last 12 matches in this tournament.
Gibraltar
Julio Ribas's side drew 0-0 with Liechtenstein away in the last round. As a result, Gibraltar extended their unbeaten run in the Nations League to three matches (1 win, 2 draws). With five points, they lead the group and will secure the top spot and promotion to League C if they beat San Marino.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last six away matches in the Nations League (2 draws, 4 losses).
- Gibraltar has not scored in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- No more than one goal has been scored in regular time in 4 of Gibraltar's last 5 away matches in the Nations League.
San Marino vs. Gibraltar: Match Prediction
This match is of immense importance for both teams, and they are unlikely to take risks. Neither team is known for their scoring prowess or attacking flair. San Marino has scored in just one match throughout their Nations League campaign. However, they are defensively solid, conceding no more than two goals in 11 of their last 12 matches in this tournament.
Gibraltar appears slightly more confident in attack, but they have not scored more than one goal in regular time in 14 of their last 15 Nations League encounters. At the same time, they have been defensively sound, conceding a maximum of one goal in 4 of their last 5 matches in this tournament.
I do not expect the teams to produce a high-scoring game and anticipate a low-scoring match. My prediction: Total under 2 goals