The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Scotland and Croatia in Group 1 of League A will take place on November 15 at Hampden Park in Glasgow. Scotland vs. Croatia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Orel Grinfeld (Israel)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 9%.
Predicted lineups for Scotland vs. Croatia
Scotland (4-2-3-1): Craig Gordon – Andrew Robertson, John Souttar, Grant Hanley, Anthony Ralston – Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean – Scott McTominay, Ben Doak, Ryan Christie – Lyndon Dykes.
Croatia (3-4-3): Nediljko Labrović – Joško Gvardiol, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Josip Šutalo – Borna Sosa, Ivan Perišić, Petar Sučić, Luka Modrić – Martin Baturina, Igor Matanović, Andrej Kramarić.
Scotland
Steve Clarke's side picked up their first points in the current Nations League in the last round. Playing at home, the team drew with Portugal (0-0). However, before that, Scotland suffered three consecutive defeats, each by a one-goal margin. Scotland is at the bottom of Group 1, and if they earn fewer points than Poland in the fifth round, they will be relegated directly to League B. If the team does not win, they will lose all chances of participating in the Nations League playoffs.
- Scotland's winless streak in this tournament is five matches (2 draws and 3 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of Scotland's last 9 Nations League games.
- The team has scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Nations League.
Croatia
The Balkan side had a rough start in the current tournament, losing away to Portugal (1-2). However, they have not lost since, defeating Poland (1-0) and Scotland (2-1) at home, and then drawing with Poland away (3-3). Zlatko Dalić's team has an excellent chance to reach the final stage of the Nations League, but they need to earn at least as many points in this round as Poland, who could still overtake Croatia in the standings.
Forward Ante Budimir and goalkeeper Dominik Livaković will miss the match due to suspensions.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Croatia's last 8 Nations League games.
- Croatia has not lost in 90 minutes in 10 of their last 11 matches (6 wins and 4 draws).
- Three or more goals were scored in 9 of the Balkan side's last 11 Nations League games.
Scotland vs. Croatia: Match Prediction
Steve Clarke's team will do everything possible to remain in the elite division. It's not an easy task, as they need to avoid losing this match and then defeat Poland in a head-to-head encounter on their turf. Additionally, Poland must also drop points in Portugal. The chances are slim, but not entirely out of reach, considering that a draw or even a defeat might suffice for Croatia, provided Portugal beats Poland in the parallel group match.
Scotland has always been known for their resilience at home. In the Nations League, they have played 10 matches at home, losing only once, with 7 wins and 2 draws. The Portuguese have already felt how tough it is to play against Scotland in Glasgow – 0-0. Croatia, on the other hand, has yet to win away in the current Nations League (1 draw and 1 loss). Additionally, the Balkan team will miss their main goalkeeper, Dominik Livaković, due to suspension.
Therefore, my prediction is "Scotland to win or draw"