Scotland vs Greece: betting odds March 23, 2025

The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Scotland and Greece will take place on March 23 at Hampden Park in Glasgow. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Scotland. Scotland vs. Greece: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Scotland

Steve Clarke's squad secured a crucial victory in Greece, scoring the only goal of the match from a penalty (1-0). The low-scoring outcome of the first encounter was not surprising, as the opponents managed only three shots on target between them, with two coming from Scotland. To remain in League A, Scotland only needs to avoid defeat in the home fixture. Notably, the team has won three consecutive matches in the Nations League.

• Scotland opened the scoring in 5 of their last 6 games in this tournament.
• The team scored in 11 of their last 12 home matches in the Nations League.
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of Scotland's last 8 home matches in the Nations League.

Predicted lineup for Scotland (4-2-3-1)

Craig Gordon – Grant Hanley, Andrew Robertson, John Souttar, Anthony Ralston – Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean – Scott McTominay, John McGinn, Lewis Ferguson – Che Adams.

Greece

Ivan Jovanovic's squad hoped to secure a win in the first leg, attacking more but only outshooting their opponent in terms of total attempts (24:8), while struggling with accuracy and finishing. Due to inefficient finishing, Greece lost at home and now needs to defeat Scotland on their turf by at least two goals. If they win by one goal, extra time will be required.

• Greece's uncompromising streak in this tournament is 13 matches (10 wins and 3 losses).
• At least one team failed to score in 15 of Greece's last 17 Nations League matches.
• Greece has not conceded more than one goal in their last nine away matches in the Nations League.

Predicted lineup for Greece (4-2-3-1)

Kostas Tzolakis – Lazaros Rota, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Kostas Koulierakis, Kostas Tsimikas – Petros Mantalos, Emmanouil Siopis – Christos Tzolis, Georgios Masouras, Giannis Konstantelias – Fotis Ioannidis.

Midfielder Emmanouil Siopis is out due to suspension.

Referee

Davide Massa (Italy)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 17;

Penalties – 18%.

Match Prediction: Scotland vs. Greece

Despite Greece's strong performance in League B, even against teams like England, they struggled against a seasoned opponent. They lost to a team not necessarily stronger but one adept at playing for results and executing the tactical plan set by their manager. I believe Scotland will not play open football in the return leg, focusing more on defense while not forgetting about counterattacks.

Defeating Scotland at home is incredibly tough. In their last 11 home matches in the Nations League, the team has only lost once (8 wins and 2 draws). Moreover, in 8 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, Scotland has not conceded more than one goal. Greece has good away records in the Nations League, but previously faced weaker opponents, except for their match in England. Additionally, in 6 of Greece's last 7 away matches in this tournament, no more than two goals were scored.

My prediction: 1X and Total under 2.5 goals