The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Serbia and Austria will take place on March 23 at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade. The first match ended in a 1-1 draw. Serbia vs. Austria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Serbia
The Balkans were satisfied with the result of the first game, which ended in a draw (1-1). Dragan Stojković's team was outplayed in all respects away from home, but with just one shot on target, they managed not to lose. Now, to emerge victorious over the two legs, Serbia needs to win in regular time in the return match. Notably, the national team has drawn their last three matches in the Nations League.
- Serbia has not won in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (4 draws and 2 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Serbia's last 8 Nations League matches.
- At least one team has failed to score in 6 of the Balkans' last 8 Nations League games.
Predicted lineup for Serbia (3-2-3-2)
Predrag Rajković – Srđan Babić, Strahinja Eraković, Ognjen Miomović – Nemanja Maksimović, Nemanja Gudelj – Lazar Samardžić, Saša Lukić, Veljko Birmančević – Dušan Vlahović, Luka Jović.
Austria
The Austrians are unlikely to be satisfied with the result of the home meeting. The team dominated the match, outplaying the opponent with xG 2.31 to 0.36, in shots on goal 24 to 8, and in possession, but were inefficient in finishing attacks. Now they need to win in the Balkans to reach League A. If the result is again a draw, extra time will be played. Ralf Rangnick's team remains unbeaten in this tournament for five matches (3 wins and 2 draws).
- Austria has won only three of their last 12 Nations League games (4 draws and 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Austria's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- At least two goals have been scored in the last 15 Nations League matches.
Predicted lineup for Austria (3-5-2)
Alexander Schlager – David Alaba, Philipp Lienhart, Philipp Mwene – Nicolas Seiwald, Florian Grillitsch, Patrick Wimmer, Christoph Baumgartner, Romano Schmid – Marko Arnautović, Michael Gregoritsch.
Referee
José María Sánchez Martínez (Spain)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 13%.
Match Prediction: Serbia vs. Austria
It will be challenging for the Austrians to overcome Serbia after failing to defeat them in Vienna. The Balkans are much stronger at home, where they are unbeaten in their last five home Nations League matches (3 wins and 2 draws). Meanwhile, there is no point for Serbia to sit back in defense now, as they need to win in regular time. Notably, the national team has scored in 7 of their last 9 home matches at the official level.
Austria will also need to push forward and attack, as they too need to score to tip the scales in their favor. The guests are likely to find the back of the net, having scored in their last 8 Nations League matches, and they have scored in 8 of their last 10 away games in this tournament. Additionally, there has been an exchange of goals in the last four head-to-head meetings in all competitions.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes