The Matchday 30 clash in La Liga between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid will take place on April 6 at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium. Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Sevilla
Garcia Pimienta's side has suffered back-to-back defeats in the league for the second time this season. They lost 0-1 at home to Athletic Bilbao and were beaten 1-2 away by Real Betis. As a result, the team has slipped to the lower half of the table, trailing the European competition spots by 11 points. However, they maintain a comfortable 9-point cushion above the relegation zone.
- The club has scored exactly one goal in 4 of their last 5 La Liga matches.
- Sevilla has not won the first half in 11 of their last 13 league games (7 draws and 4 losses).
- Sevilla is on a 5-match winless streak at home in La Liga (3 draws and 2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Sevilla (4-4-2)
Orjan Nyland – Kike Salas, Jose Carmona, Loic Bade, Adria Pedrosa – Juanlu Sanchez, Nemanja Gudelj, Ruben Vargas, Albert Sambi Lokonga – Dodi Lukebakio, Isak Romero.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club is experiencing their worst form of the season. For the first time since November 2022, Atletico has failed to win three consecutive league matches. They lost to Getafe (1-2) and Barcelona (2-4) and then drew 1-1 away at Espanyol. This series has left Diego Simeone's side nine points behind leaders Barcelona and six behind Real Madrid. Nevertheless, they still boast the best defense in La Liga, conceding only 23 goals.
- In their last seven La Liga games, Atletico has won only twice (3 draws and 2 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 12 of their last 13 league matches.
- Atletico has scored in 15 of their last 17 away games in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Cesar Azpilicueta, Clement Lenglet, Robin Le Normand – Marcos Llorente, Conor Gallagher, Samuel Lino, Pablo Barrios – Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Sorloth, Giuliano Simeone.
Forward Angel Correa and defender Jose Maria Gimenez will miss the match due to suspensions.
Referee
Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
Matches – 16 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 65;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 19%.
Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Despite the difference in league positions, I slightly favor the hosts. Sevilla has lost just three of their last 12 home matches in La Liga (5 wins and 4 draws), with defeats only to teams consistently challenging for top spots. Meanwhile, Atletico is experiencing a slump, leading to a significant gap from the top two in La Liga. Additionally, Atletico has only managed to beat Valencia in their last five away league matches (2 draws and 2 losses).
Sevilla also benefits from Atletico's slight fatigue, having played a tough Copa del Rey match against Barcelona on Wednesday. Furthermore, Atletico will be without two key players due to suspensions. Sevilla consistently challenges Atletico in head-to-head encounters, with the visitors securing just one win (2 draws and 3 losses) in their last six La Liga meetings at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. Therefore, my prediction is Sevilla win or draw.
