The Matchday 5 clash in the Regional Path of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Shinnik and Neftekhimik will take place on October 15 at the Shinnik Stadium in Yaroslavl. Shinnik vs. Neftekhimik: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Shinnik
In the previous round, the team from Yaroslavl secured a 4-1 away victory against Cherepovets. Shinnik has avoided defeat in regular time in 9 of their last 11 Russian Cup matches (3 wins, 6 draws). However, it's worth noting that in 6 of these encounters, Shinnik failed to score. The club has reached the 5th round for the fourth consecutive season.
- Yaroslavl has not conceded more than one goal in 10 of their last 11 matches in the national cup.
- At home in the Russian Cup, the team has been unable to win in 90 minutes for 6 matches (4 draws, 2 losses).
- In 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament, Shinnik has failed to score a single goal.
Predicted lineup for Shinnik (4-5-1)
Denis Vambolt – Artur Cherny, Nikita Kotin, Andrius Rukas, Artem Golubev – Denis Mironov, Viktor Nafikov, Timofey Shchelkunov, Artem Malakhov, Daniil Martovoy – Ilya Porokhov.
Neftekhimik
In the previous round, Neftekhimik emerged victorious over Volgar (1-1, 5-3 on penalties). However, the club has been unable to win in regular time for 3 Russian Cup matches (2 draws, 1 loss). Moreover, Neftekhimik scored for the first time in this stretch. The team is generally not known for high scoring: only in two of their last 9 matches in this tournament have they managed to score more than once. Notably, Neftekhimik has reached the 5th round for the third time in the last four seasons.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of Neftekhimik's last 9 matches in the national cup.
- Away in this tournament, the club has not lost in 6 of their last 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- In their last 5 away matches in the Russian Cup, Neftekhimik has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Neftekhimik (4-3-3)
Nikolai Prisyazhnenko – Nikolai Tolstopiatov, Dmitry Shadrintsev, Maxim Shiryayev, Magomed Musalov – Danila Sukhomlinov, David Kokoev, Denis Mikhailov – Alexey Nikitin, Kirill Moiseev, Islam Mashukov.
Referee
Vladimir Shamara (Russia)
Matches – 5 (Russian Cup, 2022/23 - 2023/24);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 0%.
Shinnik vs. Neftekhimik: Match Prediction
Both opponents are known for their solid defensive play and modest attacking statistics. This is characteristic of their performances in both tournaments. In 8 head-to-head meetings in the FNL, more than 2 goals were scored only twice. I don't anticipate a goal fest in the upcoming match.
Yaroslavl had a record "clean sheet" streak in the current First League campaign. Shinnik also concedes very little in the Russian Cup: no more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament. Moreover, in 6 of these encounters, the club kept a clean sheet. However, in their last 7 home matches in the national cup, the team has scored just two goals.
Neftekhimik has managed to score more than once in only two of their last 7 away games in the Russian Cup, and one of their opponents was an amateur team. They failed to score against Neftekhimik, as did two other opponents of Kirill Novikov's side in their last 4 away matches in this tournament.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
