The return leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Slovenia and Slovakia will take place on March 23 at the Stožice Stadium in Ljubljana. The first match ended in a 0-0 draw. Slovenia vs. Slovakia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Slovenia
Matjaž Kek's side managed a goalless draw away in the first match. However, Slovenia has failed to win in their last three Nations League matches (2 draws, 1 loss). The team has only failed to score twice in their last ten matches in this tournament. To retain their place in League B, Slovenia needs to win in regular time.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 11 home matches in the Nations League (4 wins, 5 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
- Both teams have scored in regular time in 5 of Slovenia's last 7 home matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Slovenia (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Žan Karničnik, Vanja Drkušić, Jaka Bijol, Erik Janža – Petar Stojanović, Sandi Lovrić, Timi Elšnik, Dejan Petrović – Jan Mlakar, Benjamin Šeško.
Forward Jan Mlakar will miss the game due to injury.
Slovakia
Francesco Calzona's side, having drawn with Slovenia in the first match, have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight Nations League games (4 wins, 3 draws). Additionally, Slovakia has kept a clean sheet in two consecutive matches in this tournament. To advance to League B, Slovakia needs to win in regular time, while a draw would lead to extra time.
- The team has won in regular time in 4 of their last 6 away matches in the Nations League.
- Slovakia has scored exactly one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- Slovakia has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 8 of their last 11 away matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Slovakia (4-3-3)
Martin Dúbravka – Norbert Gyömbér, Denis Vavro, Milan Škriniar, Dávid Hancko – Matúš Bero, Stanislav Lobotka, Ondrej Duda – Lukáš Haraslín, Róbert Boženík, Tomáš Suslov.
Defenders Denis Vavro and Adam Obert will not play due to injuries.
Referee
István Kovács (Romania)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 10%.
Slovenia vs. Slovakia: Match Prediction
Slovenia's open and active play at home often helps them achieve their attacking goals. Throughout their Nations League campaign, they have played 12 home matches and failed to score in only two, with the team scoring at least twice in 3 of their last 5 home games. However, Slovenia regularly makes defensive errors, having kept just one clean sheet in their last seven home matches in this tournament.
Slovakia also does not sit back in defense and focuses on creating chances. Even away from home, they score regularly, having found the net in each of their last six away Nations League matches. Meanwhile, Slovakia struggles to maintain defensive solidity, conceding in 8 of their last 11 away games in the Nations League.
I expect a high-scoring game from both sides, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes