The Matchday 11 clash in the Russian Premier League between Sochi and Pari NN will take place on October 5 at the Fisht Stadium. Sochi vs. Pari NN: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Sochi
In the last round, Sochi shared the points away with Dynamo Makhachkala (0-0). This result ended a run of five consecutive Premier League defeats. Additionally, the team kept their first clean sheet of the RPL 2025/26 season, becoming the last club to achieve this. However, it was the fifth time in the current championship that Sochi failed to score. Igor Osinkin's side remains at the bottom of the league table, trailing the playoff zone by five points.
- Sochi has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches.
- At home, the club has lost 4 of their last 5 RPL matches (1 draw).
- In 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament, the team has not scored more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Sochi (4-5-1)
Yuri Dyupin – Kirill Zaika, Yahya Attiyat-Allah, Sergey Volkov, Alexander Soldatenkov – Dmitry Vasilyev, Ruslan Bart, Anton Zinkovsky, Alexander Kovalenko, Kirill Kravtsov – Zakhar Fedorov.
Forward Pavel Meleshin is injured. Midfielder Martin Kramaric is suspended.
Pari NN
In the last round, Pari NN suffered a 0-3 defeat away to Spartak. This was the team's fourth loss in their last five championship matches, conceding even in their lone victory during this stretch. Furthermore, Pari NN has failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their last 14 games in this tournament. In the overall standings, the club is 15th, four points ahead of their closest rival.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Pari NN's last 7 Premier League matches.
- The team is on a 13-match losing streak away in the championship.
- Pari NN has failed to score in their last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Pari NN (4-3-3)
Nikita Medvedev – Nikita Kakkoev, Maxim Shnaptsov, Sven Karic, Vadim Pigas – Mamadou Maiga, Andrey Ivlev, Luka Tichich – Olakunle Olusegun, Juan Boselli, Daniil Lesovoy.
Defenders Edgardo Farina and Alexander Ektov are injured.
Referee
Sergey Karasev (Russia)
Matches – 5 (RPL, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Sochi vs. Pari NN
Neither team can boast strong scoring records, but in the upcoming game, I am confident both sides will spend considerable time on the attack. The standings require them to earn points, and where better to do that than against a direct competitor in the fight for survival? Together, the clubs have already conceded 44 goals, and defensive issues are likely to be a key factor in this match.
The first opponent Sochi managed to keep at bay were the Makhachkala team, one of the league's lowest-scoring sides. Even so, Igor Osinkin's team allowed them to create five scoring chances. Additionally, Sochi has conceded 10 goals in 4 home matches in the RPL 2025/26.
Pari NN also has one "clean" match, again against the Makhachkala team. However, in 7 of their 9 matches in the current championship, Alexey Shpilevsky's side has conceded at least twice. Along with Sochi, Pari NN ranks among the bottom three for xGA. It's worth noting that the club played against Sochi in playoff matches before the season started, with a total of 7 goals scored.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
