Quarter-final match of the English League Cup between Southampton and Liverpool will take place on December 18 at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Simon Hooper (England)
Matches – 9 (Premier League and English League Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Southampton vs. Liverpool
Southampton (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale – James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Yukinari Sugawara, Taylor Harwood-Bellis – Mateusz Fernandes, Lesley Ugochukwu, Joe Aribo – Adam Armstrong, Ryan Fraser, Cameron Archer.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Vitezslav Jaros – Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah, Andrew Robertson, Joseph Gomez – Wataru Endo, Tyler Morton – Cody Gakpo, Luis Diaz, Curtis Jones – Dominik Szoboszlai.
The starting lineup for each team in their previous match in this tournament.
Southampton
The club has progressed through three stages of the current English League Cup. The team defeated two Championship sides and a lower-half Premier League opponent. Away, Southampton beat Cardiff (5-3) and Everton (1-1, pens. 6-5), and in the last stage, they overcame Stoke City (3-2) at home. Last season, the team was knocked out in the first stage of the tournament, losing to Gillingham (1-3). However, a year earlier, the club reached the semi-finals of this Cup, where they were defeated by Newcastle over two legs (0-1 and 1-2).
- Both teams scored in the last five Southampton matches in the English League Cup.
- No more than three goals were scored in 90 minutes in 8 of the club's last 11 games in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than 1 goal in regular time in 14 of their last 18 home matches in this Cup.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side has played two matches in this edition of the English League Cup, both against Premier League opponents. Liverpool thrashed West Ham (5-1) at home and defeated Brighton (3-2) away. Overall, the club remains unbeaten in regular time in this tournament for eight matches (6 wins and 2 draws). Liverpool is the current holder of the trophy, having defeated Chelsea (0-0, extra time 1-0) in last season's final. The club also won this tournament in 2022 and has claimed five English League Cup trophies this century.
- Liverpool has conceded in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Liverpool's last 9 English League Cup matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 games in this Cup.
Southampton vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
The hosts of the upcoming match are in poor form. Over the weekend, the team suffered a 0-5 home defeat to Tottenham, marking their fifth loss in six recent Premier League matches (with one draw). Southampton is at the bottom of the league table and is now 9 points behind the 17th place, while also being the lowest-scoring team in the Premier League. Due to these results, the club's management decided to dismiss head coach Russell Martin.
I am confident that even if Liverpool rests their key players and fields a second-string lineup, they will still secure a convincing victory. Arne Slot's side leads the league, concedes few goals, and has suffered only one defeat in the Premier League. Notably, the team is unbeaten away in the current league campaign, and their last away defeat at the official level was in April this year. It is also worth noting that Liverpool has defeated Southampton in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters in the Premier League and FA Cup. In this series, Liverpool has never scored less than two goals.
My prediction – Liverpool with a handicap (-1.5)
