The Matchday 36 Premier League clash between Southampton and Manchester City will take place on May 10 at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Southampton
The team has been unable to secure a win in the Premier League for 11 consecutive matches. During this stretch, the club has suffered nine defeats and managed two draws. In the last round, Simon Rusk's side even lost to Leicester, who are just one place above them in the standings (0-2). With four rounds remaining, Southampton has only 11 points, matching Derby's record low for points in a Premier League season (2007/08).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 7 league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Southampton's last 8 Premier League games.
- The club's winless home streak in the Premier League stands at 12 matches (1 draw and 11 losses).
Predicted lineup for Southampton (5-4-1)
Aaron Ramsdale – Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning, Jan Bednarek, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters – Lesley Ugochukwu, Mateus Fernandes, Flynn Downes, Kamaldeen Sulemana – Ross Stewart.
Manchester City
The Citizens have gradually climbed to third place in the standings. This happened after the club remained unbeaten in the Premier League over the past two months (5 wins and 2 draws). In the previous four rounds, Pep Guardiola's side secured victories: at home against Crystal Palace (5-2), Aston Villa (2-1), and Wolverhampton (1-0), and away against Everton (3-0). Notably, the team could even finish the season in second place, as they are only three points behind Arsenal.
- A maximum of three goals were scored in 8 of the last 10 matches for the Mancunians in the Premier League.
- At least one team failed to score in 8 of Manchester City's last 11 Premier League games.
- The Citizens have not conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-2-3-1)
Stefan Ortega – Matheus Nunes, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Ruben Dias – Mateo Kovacic, Ilkay Gundogan – Kevin De Bruyne, James McAtee, Bernardo Silva – Omar Marmoush.
Defenders Nathan Ake and John Stones are currently sidelined. Notably, midfielder Rodri Hernandez has recovered, but his participation in the match is still in doubt due to his physical condition.
Referee
Tim Robinson (England)
Matches – 13 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: Southampton vs. Manchester City
It seems likely that Southampton will match Derby's record for the fewest points in a season, as they face two Champions League zone teams at home and Everton away in their remaining three matches. The team is merely playing out the season, having collected just two points in their last 11 matches. During this period, the club has suffered seven defeats by a margin of two or more goals.
Pep Guardiola can salvage this disappointing season. By improving their play in the second half of the campaign, the team has moved closer to the second spot in the standings, which they will now aim to secure. Against the bottom three teams this season, Manchester City has played five matches, winning each one, with four victories by a margin of at least two goals. Additionally, the Citizens have defeated Southampton in 11 of their last 14 Premier League meetings.
My prediction – Manchester City with a handicap (-1.5)
