Spain vs Netherlands: betting odds March 23, 2025

The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League quarter-final between Spain and the Netherlands will take place on March 23 at the Mestalla Stadium in Valencia. The first match ended in a 2-2 draw. Spain vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Spain

Spain took the lead in the first match, but early in the second half, they found themselves trailing. Luis de la Fuente's side managed to equalize in stoppage time (2-2), ending their five-match winning streak in the Nations League. Notably, Spain has scored at least two goals in their last four matches in this tournament. The draw leaves them with a good chance to reach the Nations League semi-finals for the third consecutive time.

• Spain has scored first in their last six Nations League games.
• At home, the team has not lost in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament (4 wins, 1 draw).
• At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Spain's last 6 Nations League matches.

Predicted lineup for Spain (4-3-3)

Unai Simón – Marc Cucurella, Pau Cubarsi, Robin Le Normand, Pedro Porro – Fabián Ruiz, Martín Zubimendi, Pedri – Álvaro Morata, Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal.

Defenders Iñigo Martínez and Pau Cubarsi are sidelined due to injuries. Forward Ayoze Pérez will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Netherlands

Ronald Koeman's side was close to victory in the first match but allowed the opponent to equalize shortly before the final whistle. The Netherlands has performed well in the Nations League, avoiding defeat in 6 of their last 7 matches (2 wins, 4 draws). However, they have kept a clean sheet in only one of these games. Like Spain, the Netherlands can secure their third semi-final appearance in this tournament.

• Both teams have scored in 7 of the Netherlands' last 9 Nations League matches.
• In 7 of their last 8 away games in the Nations League, the Netherlands has conceded exactly one goal.
• The Netherlands has not lost in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament (4 wins, 4 draws).

Predicted lineup for Netherlands (4-3-3)

Bart Verbruggen – Jeremie Frimpong, Jorrel Hato, Virgil van Dijk, Lutsharel Geertruida – Jan Paul van Hecke, Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong – Memphis Depay, Justin Kluivert, Cody Gakpo.

Defender Jorrel Hato is suspended.

Referee

Clément Turpin (France)

Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 54%.

Match Prediction: Spain vs. Netherlands

The Netherlands held their own against the reigning Nations League champions and European champions. It's unclear how the first match would have ended without the sending-off, but even with a player down, Ronald Koeman's side did not concede. The confidence boost from this performance should carry over into the second leg, and the team is unlikely to shy away from attacking, having scored in 7 of their last 8 away Nations League matches. However, they have kept a clean sheet in only one of these games.

Spain needs to step up, as more was expected from them. At home in the Nations League, they have performed well, scoring in every home match in this tournament. However, as the first match showed, Luis de la Fuente's side is vulnerable in defense. Additionally, Spain has not kept a clean sheet in their last three Nations League games, marking their second-longest streak with goals conceded in the tournament.

My prediction: Both teams to score – yes