Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League sees Sparta Prague (Czech Republic) take on Atletico Madrid (Spain) on November 26 at the Epet Arena. Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Danny Makkelie (Netherlands)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid
Sparta Prague (3-4-3): Peter Vindahl-Jensen – Martin Vitik, Filip Panak, Elias Cobbaut – Tomas Wiesner, Kaan Kairinen, Qazim Laci, Matej Rynes – Albion Rrahmani, Victor Olatunji, Victor Olatunji.
Atletico Madrid (3-5-2): Jan Oblak – Axel Witsel, Clement Lenglet, Reinildo Mandava – Javi Galan, Nahuel Molina, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios – Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.
Sparta Prague
The Czech side has secured just one win after four rounds, defeating Salzburg (3-0) at the start of the tournament. Subsequently, they have not won, drawing with Stuttgart (1-1) and losing to Manchester City (0-5) and Brest (1-2). The club sits in 26th place with four points. Before their two recent defeats, Sparta had a 10-match unbeaten run in regular time in the Champions League (6 wins and 4 draws).
- At least two goals have been scored in the last 11 matches of the Czechs in this tournament.
- Sparta has scored in regular time in 10 of their last 11 Champions League games.
- The team has not lost in the second half in six consecutive home matches in the Champions League (4 wins and 2 draws).
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards are just three positions above the Prague team. Atletico has accumulated six points in the current campaign, having defeated Leipzig (2-1) at home and, in the last round, unexpectedly beat PSG away (2-1). They also suffered defeats against Benfica (0-4) and Lille (1-3). Notably, the team has gone 11 consecutive Champions League matches without a draw in regular time (7 wins and 4 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in Atletico's last seven Champions League matches.
- Both teams have scored in regular time in 6 of the club's last 7 games in this tournament.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 6 of Atletico's last 8 Champions League matches.
Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
While the Czechs have decent records in the Champions League recently, their victories have come against much weaker opponents in the qualifying rounds of this tournament. As soon as Sparta faces representatives of top European leagues, problems arise, as seen in their recent home game against Brest. The Spaniards will aim to secure three points in this encounter, as the tough schedule is behind them, and they have two matches against Eastern European clubs ahead. Winning these matches would allow Atletico to re-enter the race for a top-eight finish in the group stage.
I believe the visitors will win in the Czech Republic. Atletico rarely play against opponents of Sparta's lower caliber in the Champions League, so they should handle the Prague side comfortably, even on their turf. In their last away match, the Spaniards even defeated PSG, a team consistently considered one of the contenders for the Champions League title in recent years.
My prediction – Atletico Madrid to win