The Matchday 19 clash in the Russian Premier League between Spartak and Orenburg will take place on March 2 at the Lukoil Arena in Moscow. Spartak vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Spartak
Dejan Stanković's side confidently defeated Pari NN 3-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Spartak secured their sixth consecutive victory in the league, winning by a large margin in four of their last matches. Additionally, the Moscow team has kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight Premier League games. In the standings, the team has 37 points and remains in third place, but the gap to leaders Krasnodar and Zenit has been reduced to two points. Notably, Spartak has the best home record in the current championship with 23 points.
- The club has not lost in 13 of their last 14 home matches in the Russian Premier League (10 wins, 3 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in six of the team's last home games in the league.
- The Moscow team has scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Spartak (4-3-3)
Aleksandr Maksimenko – Srđan Babić, Daniil Denisov, Alexis Duarte, Oleg Ryabchuk – Christopher Martins, Nail Umyarov, Ezequiel Barco – Theo Bongonda, Marquinhos, Manfred Ugalde.
Notably, forwards Willian José and Shamar Nicholson left the club in winter, while midfielder Daniil Zorin and forward Anton Zinkovsky went out on loan. The team welcomed goalkeeper Ilya Pomazun and forwards Pablo Solari and Levi Garcia.
Orenburg
In the last round, Orenburg suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Akhmat. Besides losing to one of their relegation battle rivals, the club also recorded their sixth consecutive league defeat. Overall, the team has not won since the second round of the current RPL season and has only eight points in the standings. Orenburg sits in last place, eight points behind the safety of 12th place. It is also worth noting that Orenburg is the only club yet to win away in the current championship.
- The team has not won in their last 20 away matches in the league (6 draws, 14 losses).
- The club has conceded in the second half in 10 of their last 11 away Premier League matches.
- No more than one goal has been scored in 5 of Orenburg's last 7 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Nikolay Sysuev – Georgy Zotov, Alexey Tataev, Artem Kasimov, Maxim Sidorov – Brian Mansilla, Ivan Basic, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Yaroslav Mikhailov, Jimmy Marin – Said Saharhizan.
Midfielder Gabriel Florentin will miss the game due to injury. During the winter break, defender Alexey Tataev and forward Maxim Savelyev joined the club. Meanwhile, defender Matias Perez and midfielder Mohammad Ghorbani left the team.
Referee
Pavel Kukuyan (Russia)
Matches – 10 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 30%.
Spartak vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
Spartak performs very well at home and often achieves maximum results. In their last 13 home league matches, Spartak failed to win only three times, defeating Krasnodar and twice beating Lokomotiv in this stretch. Additionally, in each of their last three home RPL matches, the club has thrashed their opponents, securing six large victories at home this Premier League season.
Orenburg cannot boast good results on the road – their last away league victory was at the start of the previous season. Orenburg's current away winless streak in the RPL is 20 matches, including 14 losses. Notably, this season, the team played away against three top-6 representatives and lost by a four-goal margin in two cases – 1-5 to CSKA and 0-4 to Krasnodar.
I do not think Dmitry Pyatibratov's side will avoid defeat in this encounter. Moreover, I expect a confident victory from the hosts, so my prediction: Spartak with a handicap (-1.5)
