The first leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between Sporting (Portugal) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on February 11 at the José Alvalade Stadium in Lisbon. Sporting vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Sporting
The team made a strong start in the group stage, winning 3 of their 4 matches, but a subsequent series of three losses put their future prospects at risk. Nevertheless, a draw in the final round secured their place in the playoffs. Notably, Sporting has scored in all their matches in the 2024/25 Champions League. The last time they participated in Europe's premier tournament was in the 2022/23 season, finishing third in their group.
Midfielder Morten Hjulmand will miss the match due to suspension. Midfielder Jeni Catamo and forward Nuno Santos are injured.
- Both teams scored in Sporting's last five Champions League games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 6 of Sporting's last 7 Champions League matches.
- In 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament, the team conceded at least one goal.
Predicted lineup for Sporting (4-4-2)
Franco Israel – Maximiliano Araujo, Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Gonçalo Inácio – Giovanni Kenda, Zeno Debast, Daniel Bragança, Matheus Reis – Konrad Harder, Francisco Trincão.
Borussia Dortmund
Last year's finalists showed uncompromising results in the group stage. Dortmund secured 5 wins and suffered 3 losses, two of which were against Spanish giants Real Madrid and Barcelona. Ultimately, Borussia finished in 10th place, just one point shy of the top 8. It's worth noting that with 22 goals scored, the German club was the most prolific among the teams that reached the playoffs.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha will miss the match due to injury.
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of Dortmund's last 9 Champions League matches.
- Borussia opened the scoring in 7 of their last 8 games in this tournament.
- The team defeated their upcoming opponent in 3 of their 4 Champions League encounters (1 loss).
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson – Emre Can, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens – Serhou Guirassy.
Referee
Espen Eskås (Norway)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 13%.
Sporting vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
Both teams demonstrated solid attacking play during the group stage, scoring in all their matches. However, their defensive performances were not as strong. I am confident that this encounter between such opponents will be high-scoring.
Sporting has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five Champions League games. During this period, even Bologna and Club Brugge, whose average scoring in the group stage was less than one goal per match, managed to score against Sporting. Additionally, the team has conceded in 7 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
Dortmund last kept a clean sheet in an official match at the end of November. They concluded the main stage of the Champions League with a 3-match streak of conceding goals. It should also be noted that the Germans have scored against Sporting in all their encounters in this tournament, but Borussia has not managed to keep a clean sheet in both matches held in Portugal.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes