The Matchday 20 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Augsburg will take place on February 1 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Augsburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin's side won two consecutive matches for the first time this season: after an away victory against Heidenheim (2-0), the Hamburg team thrashed Union at home (3-0). Notably, 5 of their 6 Bundesliga victories in the 2024/25 season have been clean sheets. The club's defense is particularly reliable, conceding just 21 goals, second only to Bayern (16). However, their league position is not ideal, sitting in 13th place.
- At least one opponent failed to score in St. Pauli's last 6 Bundesliga games.
- The team has not won at home in 7 of their last 9 league matches (2 draws, 5 losses).
- St. Pauli has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Lars Ritzka, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Manolis Saliakas – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Augsburg
In the last round, the team defeated Heidenheim at home (2-1), securing their third consecutive league victory. In each of these matches, Jess Thorup's side scored exactly two goals. This winning streak has lifted Augsburg 11 points clear of the relegation zone, allowing them to eye the European competition places, just 6 points away.
Augsburg's squad has been bolstered by forward Mergim Berisha, the team's top scorer in the 2022/23 season.
- The number "2" appeared in the final score in 5 of Augsburg's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- Jess Thorup's team has not won in 11 of their last 13 away matches in this tournament (2 draws, 9 losses).
- In 10 of their last 13 away league games, Augsburg conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Augsburg (3-4-3)
Finn Dahmen – Noakai Banks, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima – Dimitris Giannoulis, Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Elvis Rexhbecaj – Samuel Essende, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Arne Maier.
Referee
Tobias Reichel (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
St. Pauli vs. Augsburg: Match Prediction
In the upcoming clash, Hamburg has a chance to achieve a third consecutive clean sheet for the first time this season. Previous attempts were unsuccessful. I believe Alexander Blessin's side will not achieve this local success this time either.
Before their last round meeting with Union Berlin, St. Pauli conceded in four consecutive home league matches. However, Union has scored the fewest goals in the tournament, so "shutting them out" is not an extraordinary feat. Additionally, St. Pauli ranks eighth in xGA, indicating that luck also plays a role in their defensive metrics.
Augsburg, on the other hand, capitalizes on their chances and consistently scores away from home. Jess Thorup's side found the net in 6 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches, failing only against Bayern, a team not easily breached. The return of Mergim Berisha will further enhance their attacking potential. My prediction: Augsburg Individual Total Over 0.5
