The Matchday 24 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund will take place on March 1 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction, betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
The Hamburg side suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Mainz in the last round, marking their second three-game losing streak of the current championship. Unlike the first streak, Alexander Blessin's team failed to score this time. St. Pauli, with 18 goals, is the lowest-scoring team in the Bundesliga 2024/25 and has now gone 10 games without scoring. In the standings, the Hamburg team has dropped to 15th place.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of St. Pauli's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- The team has not won in 9 of their last 11 home Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 6 losses).
- In 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament, the club has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, Lars Ritzka, Jackson Irvine, Siebe Van der Heyden – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad.
Forward Morgan Guilavogui is in the club's infirmary. Midfielder James Sands is out for the rest of the season.
Borussia Dortmund
Serhou Guirassy's four-goal haul helped Dortmund achieve their biggest win of the current championship. Additionally, in the match against Union (6-0), Niko Kovac's team ended an 11-match streak of conceding goals in the Bundesliga. However, Borussia has won only twice in their last eight matches in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses). In the main standings, the club has climbed to 10th place.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Dortmund's last 12 Bundesliga matches.
- The team has not won in 11 of their last 13 away Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 9 losses).
- Borussia has conceded in 10 consecutive away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson – Marcel Sabitzer, Maximilian Beyer, Pascal Groß, Giovanni Reyna, Karim Adeyemi – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha is injured.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 50%.
St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
The debut season in the Bundesliga is proving challenging for the Hamburg side. The team rarely delights fans with victories, having won only twice at home this season (3 draws, 6 losses). One of the victories was against the tournament's underdog, Holstein Kiel. Although Dortmund does not impress away from home, they should be able to secure points against such an opponent.
St. Pauli relies on solid defense. The team has conceded only 27 goals, the third-best in the championship. Borussia had a breakthrough in the last round, but Union has been prone to collapses this season. Meanwhile, the Hamburg team has suffered only one significant defeat and conceded more than two goals only twice. Dortmund has a Champions League match coming up, and Niko Kovac's side might conserve energy. Moreover, the club has not scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 13 away Bundesliga games.
Considering these facts, my prediction: Borussia Dortmund will not lose and Total under 3.5 goals
