Bundesliga
26th tour
St. Pauli
MATCH FINISHED
14 March
1
:
0
Hoffenheim

Match stats

Logo St. Pauli Logo Hoffenheim
43 Ball possession (%) 57
10 Goal attempts 4
5 Shots on Goal 0
2 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked shots 2

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim: prediction & betting odds March 14, 2025

The Matchday 26 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim will take place on March 14 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

St. Pauli

The Hamburg side ended a four-match losing streak in the league with a 1-1 draw against Wolfsburg in the last round. Additionally, Alexander Blessin's squad scored for the first time during this stretch. However, their winless run has now reached six games. In the standings, St. Pauli remains in 15th place, but their gap from the relegation playoff zone has shrunk to two points.

  • At least one opponent failed to score in 10 of St. Pauli's last 12 Bundesliga matches.
  • The club has not won in 5 of their last 6 home league matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
  • In 7 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, the team has not conceded more than one goal.

Projected lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)

Nikola Vasilj – Sibe van der Heyden, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, Lars Ritzka, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith – Noah Weißhaupt, Danel Sinani, Oladapo Afolayan.

Forward Morgan Guilavogui and midfielder James Sands are sidelined with injuries.

Hoffenheim

The Sinsheim team drew 1-1 at home against Heidenheim in the last round. The team is unbeaten in four Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 2 draws), marking the longest unbeaten streak for Christian Ilzer's side this season. However, they have kept a clean sheet in only one of these encounters. Moreover, the club has only three clean sheets in the current tournament edition. In the main standings, Hoffenheim remains in 13th place.

  • Hoffenheim has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 league games.
  • The team has not won in 9 of their last 12 away Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 5 losses).
  • The club has conceded in 6 of their last 7 away games in this tournament.

Projected lineup for Hoffenheim (4-4-2)

Oliver Baumann – Valentin Jander, Arthur Chaves, Pavel Kaderabek, Leo Estigor – Diadie Samassekou, Finn Ole Becker, Tom Bischof, Andrej Kramaric – Gift Orban, Haris Tabakovic.

Defender Arthur Chaves will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Midfielder Diadie Samassekou and forward Adam Hložek are injured.

Referee

Felix Brych (Germany)

Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 30%.

St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: Match Prediction

St. Pauli is fighting for survival but has shown solid defensive performances. Alexander Blessin's side has conceded only 30 goals in the current league, a number some teams in the European competition zone can't boast. In terms of xGA, St. Pauli ranks in the top 6 of the tournament. However, all their problems stem from a weak attack: just one goal scored in their last five Bundesliga matches. At home, they have scored the fewest goals in this tournament edition (7 goals).

Hoffenheim, although scoring in four consecutive league matches, has raised concerns about their attacking potential in the last two games. Christian Ilzer's team only managed one goal each against Bochum and Holstein Kiel, two clubs among the worst in terms of goals conceded. Furthermore, Hoffenheim has not scored more than once in 10 of their last 12 away Bundesliga matches.

My prediction: Total under 3

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

Bundesliga: previous matches of the tournament

St. Pauli
03/08/25
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
T
03/01/25
St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
L
02/22/25
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
L
02/15/25
St. Pauli
Freiburg
L
02/09/25
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
L
02/01/25
St. Pauli
Augsburg
T
01/26/25
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
W
01/18/25
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
W
01/15/25
Bochum
St. Pauli
L
01/11/25
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
12/21/24
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
W
12/14/24
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
L
12/07/24
Bayer 04
St. Pauli
L
11/29/24
St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
W
11/24/24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
L
11/09/24
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
L
11/02/24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
W
10/26/24
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
T
10/18/24
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
L
10/05/24
St. Pauli
Mainz 05
L
09/28/24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
W
09/22/24
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
T
09/15/24
Augsburg
St. Pauli
L
08/30/24
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
L
08/25/24
St. Pauli
Heidenheim
L
More games
Hoffenheim
03/09/25
Hoffenheim
Heidenheim
T
03/01/25
Bochum
Hoffenheim
W
02/23/25
Hoffenheim
Stuttgart
T
02/16/25
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim
W
02/08/25
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
L
02/02/25
Bayer 04
Hoffenheim
L
01/26/25
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
T
01/18/25
Holstein Kiel
Hoffenheim
W
01/15/25
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim
L
01/11/25
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
L
12/21/24
Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
12/15/24
Borussia Dortmund
Hoffenheim
T
12/08/24
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
T
12/01/24
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
L
11/23/24
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
W
11/10/24
Augsburg
Hoffenheim
T
11/02/24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
L
10/27/24
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
T
10/19/24
Hoffenheim
Bochum
W
10/06/24
Stuttgart
Hoffenheim
T
09/29/24
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
L
09/21/24
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
L
09/14/24
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04
L
08/31/24
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
L
08/24/24
Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
W
More games

Head-to-Head: St. Pauli — Hoffenheim

Bundesliga 2024-2025
11/02/24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2010-2011
01/23/11
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
2
:
2
08/28/10
St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
0
:
1

Standings

Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
29 21 6 2 83:29 69
2
Bayer 04
29 18 9 2 63:34 63
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
28 14 6 8 55:42 48
4
RB Leipzig
29 13 9 7 47:37 48
5
Mainz 05
29 13 7 9 46:34 46
6
Freiburg
29 13 6 10 40:45 45
7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
29 13 5 11 46:43 44
8
Borussia Dortmund
29 12 6 11 54:45 42
9
Augsburg
29 11 9 9 33:40 42
10
Stuttgart
28 11 7 10 51:44 40
11
Werder Bremen
28 11 6 11 45:53 39
12
Wolfsburg
29 10 8 11 51:45 38
13
Union Berlin
29 9 7 13 26:40 34
14
Hoffenheim
29 7 9 13 36:52 30
15
St. Pauli
29 8 5 16 25:35 29
16
Heidenheim
28 6 4 18 32:53 22
17
Bochum
29 5 5 19 29:61 20
18
Holstein Kiel
29 4 6 19 40:70 18
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
15 12 2 1 48:16 38
2
Bayer 04
15 9 4 2 32:18 31
3
RB Leipzig
14 8 4 2 27:16 28
4
Borussia Dortmund
14 8 3 3 34:17 27
5
Eintracht Frankfurt
14 8 3 3 32:20 27
6
Freiburg
14 8 2 4 26:19 26
7
Mainz 05
14 6 5 3 19:13 23
8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
15 7 2 6 25:21 23
9
Augsburg
14 6 4 4 16:15 22
10
Stuttgart
14 6 2 6 30:24 20
11
Union Berlin
14 5 4 5 12:14 19
12
Hoffenheim
15 4 5 6 23:29 17
13
Werder Bremen
14 4 4 6 20:26 16
14
Wolfsburg
15 3 6 6 25:27 15
15
St. Pauli
14 3 4 7 9:15 13
16
Bochum
15 3 3 9 14:28 12
17
Holstein Kiel
15 3 2 10 19:36 11
18
Heidenheim
14 3 1 10 12:25 10
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Bayer 04
14 9 5 0 31:16 32
2
Bayern Munich
14 9 4 1 35:13 31
3
Wolfsburg
14 7 2 5 26:18 23
4
Mainz 05
15 7 2 6 27:21 23
5
Werder Bremen
14 7 2 5 25:27 23
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
14 6 3 5 23:22 21
7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14 6 3 5 21:22 21
8
Stuttgart
14 5 5 4 21:20 20
9
RB Leipzig
15 5 5 5 20:21 20
10
Augsburg
15 5 5 5 17:25 20
11
Freiburg
15 5 4 6 14:26 19
12
St. Pauli
15 5 1 9 16:20 16
13
Borussia Dortmund
15 4 3 8 20:28 15
14
Union Berlin
15 4 3 8 14:26 15
15
Hoffenheim
14 3 4 7 13:23 13
16
Heidenheim
14 3 3 8 20:28 12
17
Bochum
14 2 2 10 15:33 8
18
Holstein Kiel
14 1 4 9 21:34 7

Team Rosters

St. Pauli

A. Blessin
coach
Player Games Goals
Line-up
Nikola Vasilj
gk. 25 -30
Hauke Wahl
df. 25 0
Philipp Treu
df. 24 0
Manolis Saliakas
df. 21 1
David Nemeth
df. 15 0
Siebe Van der Heyden
df. 6 1
Jackson Irvine
mf. 25 0
Eric Smith
mf. 23 1
Danel Sinani
fw. 17 1
Elias Saad
fw. 12 2
Noah Raphael Weißhaupt
fw. 10 0
Substitutes
Ben Alexander Voll
gk. 0 0
Lars Ritzka
df. 15 0
Adam Dzwigala
df. 12 0
Carlo Gregor Boukhalfa
mf. 19 1
Connor Isaac Metcalfe
mf. 4 0
Oladapo Joshua Afolayan
fw. 24 2
Johannes Eggestein
fw. 23 3
Scott Brian Banks
fw. 11 0
Abdoulie Ceesay
fw. 6 0
Hoffenheim

Christian Ilzer
coach
Player Games Goals
Line-up
Oliver Baumann
gk. 20 -36
Kevin Akpoguma
df. 24 0
Pavel Kadeřábek
df. 17 0
David Jurásek
df. 9 0
Leo Skiri Østigård
df. 4 0
Tom Bischof
mf. 23 4
Anton Levi Stach
mf. 21 1
Finn Ole Becker
mf. 8 0
Umut Deger Tohumcu
mf. 8 0
Andrej Kramarić
fw. 23 7
Gift Emmanuel Orban
fw. 9 4
Substitutes
Luca Dante Philipp
gk. 5 -11
Valentin Gendrey
df. 17 1
Stanley Nsoki
df. 16 0
Robin Hranáč
df. 4 0
Dennis Geiger
mf. 14 0
Marius Bülter
fw. 16 4
Haris Tabakovic
fw. 14 2
Erencan Yardımcı
fw. 6 0
Bazoumana Touré
fw. 4 0
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