The Matchday 32 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Stuttgart will take place on May 3 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Stuttgart: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the last round, the Hamburg side shared points away with Werder Bremen (0-0). Alexander Blessin's team remains unbeaten in four Bundesliga matches (1 win, 3 draws), marking their longest unbeaten run of the current season. However, St. Pauli failed to score for the first time in seven previous encounters in this tournament. Overall, the club has scored 26 goals, the worst record in the league. In the standings, Hamburg sits in 14th place, and the point earned in the last round helped them avoid direct relegation.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 10 of St. Pauli's last 12 league matches.
- At home, the team has not lost in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 9 of their last 11 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (4-3-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Philipp Treu, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, Manolis Saliakas – Siebe Van Der Heyden, Carlo Bouhalfa, Eric Smith – Noah Weisshaupt, Danel Sinani, Morgan Guilavogui.
Midfielder James Sands is in the club's infirmary. Midfielder Connor Metcalfe is suspended.
Stuttgart
In the last round, the team suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Heidenheim, thus losing the chance to fight for a Champions League spot, as Sebastian Hoeneß's side fell 10 points behind the 4th place. This situation resulted from Stuttgart's poor performance, securing only one win in their last 10 league matches (3 draws, 6 losses). Additionally, the club has conceded in 26 Bundesliga 2024/25 matches, with only three teams having fewer clean sheets.
- The team scored first in 8 of their last 11 league matches.
- Stuttgart has not lost in 5 of their last 6 away Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- In 6 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, Sebastian Hoeneß's side failed to keep a clean sheet.
Predicted lineup for Stuttgart (4-4-2)
Alexander Nübel – Jeff Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Finn Eltsch, Leonidas Stergiou – Chris Führich, Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller, Fabian Rieder – Deniz Undav, Ermedin Demirović.
Midfielder Enzo Millot is injured.
Referee
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 10%.
St. Pauli vs. Stuttgart: Match Prediction
It seems Sebastian Hoeneß's side will be playing out the rest of the season half-heartedly. Relegation is not a threat to Stuttgart, and reaching a European spot is only possible under fantastic circumstances. However, the team has an alternative route to Europe through the DFB-Pokal, and they will likely focus on the final of that tournament at the season's end. Otherwise, it's hard to explain Stuttgart's loss in the last round to relegation-battling Heidenheim. Sebastian Hoeneß's side couldn't even score against one of the tournament's weakest defenses. The team's upcoming opponent is much more reliable defensively and also has motivation.
A win in this match will allow the Hamburg side to secure their Bundesliga status. Alexander Blessin's team has lost only to Bayern Munich in their last seven league matches (2 wins, 4 draws), and they have not lost in three consecutive home games in this tournament. It's worth noting that St. Pauli boasts the league's third most reliable defense, and their excellent defensive play helped them achieve a positive result in the first-round match against Stuttgart (1-0).
My prediction: St. Pauli win or draw
