The Matchday 11 Bundesliga clash between St. Pauli and Union will take place on November 23 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Union: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the previous round, Alexander Blessin's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Freiburg. As a result, St. Pauli lost their seventh consecutive Bundesliga match, although the Hamburg side managed to score for the first time in five league outings. In the standings, the team sits in 16th place with seven points.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 9 home matches in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 5 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in the team's last five home league games.
- St. Pauli has conceded in their last nine home Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-5-2)
Nikola Vasilj – Karol Mets, Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Matias Pereira Lage, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie – Connor Metcalfe, Martijn Kaars.
Defender David Nemeth will miss out due to injury.
Union
In the previous round, Steffen Baumgart's side surprised many by taking points from Bayern Munich in a 2-2 home draw. Nevertheless, Union has not won in their last three league matches (2 draws, 1 loss). On the other hand, the team has scored at least twice for the fifth time in this Bundesliga season. In the standings, the Berliners are in 11th place with 12 points.
- The club has not won in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has not scored more than once in 5 of their last 7 away league games.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of Union's last 13 Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Union (3-5-2)
Frederik Ronnow – Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite – Andras Schafer, Janik Haberer, Rani Khedira, Alesha Kemlein, Tom Rothe – Ilyas Ansah, Oliver Burke.
Midfielder Robert Skov is injured.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 19 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 66;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 32%.
St. Pauli vs. Union: Match Prediction
Hamburgers are struggling this season – after ten league rounds, St. Pauli has managed just two wins. Moreover, even with home support, the team rarely achieves maximum results: in their last nine home Bundesliga matches, the club has won only once. Additionally, in their last two home league games, St. Pauli lost to Hoffenheim and Borussia Mönchengladbach with a combined score of 0-7.
Union unexpectedly ended Bayern's winning streak in the last round, showing they can take points from anyone. Even on the road, the team delivers respectable results: in their last nine away Bundesliga matches, the Berliners have suffered only three defeats, two of which were against top opponents – Bayer and Borussia Dortmund.
I expect a strong performance from the visitors, which will earn Steffen Baumgart's side some points. My prediction: Union win or draw
