Matchday 19 of the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Union will take place on January 26 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Union: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Sören Storks (Germany)
Matches – 6 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for St. Pauli vs. Union
St. Pauli (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Manolis Saliakas – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Union (3-5-2): Alexander Schwolow – Danilho Doekhi, Diogo Leite, Leopold Querfeld – Robert Skov, Alesha Kemlein, András Schäfer, Josip Juranović, Janik Haberer – Benedict Hollerbach, Jordan Siebatcheu.
The starting lineup for each team in their last match in this tournament is indicated.
St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin's side defeated Heidenheim 2-0 away in the last round. This victory marked Hamburg's second win in their last six league matches (4 losses). Additionally, they kept a clean sheet for the sixth time in the Bundesliga 2024/25, a tally surpassed only by Leipzig (8) and Bayern Munich (9). With three points secured, St. Pauli moved three points clear of the relegation zone.
- No more than two goals have been scored in the club's last 5 league matches.
- Hamburg has failed to win 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of St. Pauli's last 8 home Bundesliga games.
Union
The Berliners ended a 10-match winless streak in the league (3 draws, 7 losses) thanks to a 2-1 home victory over Mainz. However, Steffen Baumgart's side has failed to keep a clean sheet in eight consecutive matches in this tournament. The team is 13th in the table, three points ahead of their closest rival.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Union's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- The capital club has a series of 5 away losses in this tournament.
- In 4 of their last 5 away league games, the Berliners have not scored more than one goal.
St. Pauli vs. Union: Match Prediction
The upcoming game features two of the lowest-scoring teams in the current championship. Combined, the opponents have scored 30 goals, with 9 other clubs surpassing this mark individually. Matches involving Union and St. Pauli are among the least prolific in the Bundesliga 2024/25, with an average of 2.2 and 1.9 goals scored per game, respectively. Alexander Blessin's side has been particularly poor at home, failing to score in 7 of 8 matches.
However, the defensive reliability of both teams is noteworthy. Only Bayern Munich has conceded fewer goals than St. Pauli, and Union's defensive stats are enviable for many clubs in the upper half of the table. For example, Union ranks among the top three in xGA.
The first-round match ended with a narrow victory for Union, although neither side reached an xG of even one goal. I expect another low-scoring encounter, and my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
