The Matchday 23 Bundesliga fixture between St. Pauli and Werder Bremen will take place on 22 February at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli suffered a heavy away defeat to Bayer Leverkusen last time out (0:4). The Hamburg club have managed just one win in their last eight league matches (3 draws, 4 defeats). In addition, Alexander Blessin's side have failed to score for the ninth time in the Bundesliga 2025/26 campaign, and only Borussia Monchengladbach and Werder Bremen have found the net less often. At the same time, the club sit among the five teams with the worst defensive record. In the standings, St. Pauli are in 17th place, two points adrift of the relegation play-off spot.
- Both teams scored in five of Hamburg's last seven league matches.
- On home soil, the team have failed to win six of their last eight Bundesliga games (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- In their last five home matches in this competition, the club have not conceded more than one goal.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani – Manolis Saliakas, Martijn Kaars.
Werder Bremen
The 0:3 defeat to Bayern Munich in the last round was the team's fourth loss in their last five league matches (1 draw). Moreover, Werder Bremen lost each of those games without scoring. The club are struggling badly to create and convert chances: with 22 goals scored, Werder Bremen have the third-worst attacking record in the league. In addition, the team have now failed to score in 10 matches. In the standings, Daniel Thioune's side are in 16th place, only two points above the relegation zone.
- No more than three goals have been scored in Werder Bremen's last five Bundesliga matches.
- On the road, the club are winless in nine consecutive league games (3 draws, 6 defeats).
- Werder Bremen conceded first in five of their last seven away matches in this competition.
Potential Werder Bremen Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mio Backhaus – Marco Friedl, Abdul-Karim Coulibaly, Niklas Stark – Jens Stage, Cameron Puertas, Romano Schmid, Felix Agu, Senne Lynen – Justin Njinmah, Marco Gruell.
Defenders Amos Pieper, Mitchell Weiser, Maximilian Weber, as well as forward Victor Boniface, will miss out through injury.
Referee
Soren Storks (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen: Match Prediction
Both sides are down at the bottom of the standings, and in this head-to-head clash each of them will be pushing for victory. It is impossible to pick up three points without scoring, but both teams have major problems in that department, and desire alone will not be enough to change things. Moreover, in the last four league meetings between these clubs, just three goals have been scored in total.
The home team have scored more than once in only one of their last five Bundesliga matches. In addition, they have gone four home games without scoring in the current campaign. However, across their last five home fixtures in this competition, St. Pauli have conceded a maximum of one goal.
Things are even worse for the visitors. The away side have failed to score in eight of their last 12 Bundesliga matches. What is more, they have not scored a single goal in their last four consecutive away games. Werder Bremen's defence lacks reliability, but it does not collapse against opponents of a similar level.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* Each team's starting line-up is from their previous match in this competition.
