The first leg of the 2025/26 UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round between Torpedo Kutaisi (Georgia) and Ordabasy (Kazakhstan) will take place on July 10 at the Ramaz Shengelia Stadium. Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Ordabasy: prediction, betting odds, statistics.
Torpedo Kutaisi
The team finished last season in 2nd place in the Georgian championship, earning a spot in the Conference League. This will be Kutaisi's third consecutive participation in this European competition, starting each time from the first qualifying round. In the previous two seasons, Torpedo ended their European campaigns at the second stage. Last season, they were eliminated by Omonia (1-2 and 1-3), and in the 2023/24 edition, by Aktobe (2-1 and 1-4). Notably, in the current Georgian championship, Kutaisi is in 5th place.
In February, the club appointed Dirk Schuster as head coach, who previously managed Kaiserslautern.
- The team has not won in 11 of their last 13 European matches (3 draws and 8 losses).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Torpedo's last 8 Conference League matches.
- The team is on a six-match winless streak at home in European competitions (2 draws and 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Torpedo Kutaisi (4-5-1)
Oto Goshadze – Solomon Kvirkvelia, Zotne Nadaraya, Matej Simic, Worley – Vladimir Mamuchashvili, Aleko Basiladze, Irakli Bidzinashvili, Mohamed Sherif, Mateo Itrak – Felipe Pires
Ordabasy
The club from Shymkent is participating in this tournament as the 4th place finisher in the Kazakhstan Super League. The team will be playing in European competitions for the third consecutive time. In the 2023/24 season, Ordabasy started from the second qualifying round of the Conference League but was immediately eliminated by Legia (2-2 and 2-3). Last year, as the KPL champions, they began from the first stage in the Champions League but ended their campaign in the third qualifying round of the Conference League, losing both legs 0-1 to Pyunik. Notably, in the current Premier League, the club is only in 7th place.
Since the beginning of the year, the team has been managed by Andrey Martin, who previously only had club-level experience with Moldovan side Petrocub.
- In their last 11 European matches, Ordabasy has managed only one victory (3 draws and 7 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of the last 6 European matches involving the Kazakh side.
- The club is on a four-match losing streak away in European competitions.
Predicted lineup for Ordabasy (5-3-2)
Alexander Zarutsky – Ofri Arad, Damir Kasabulat, Alexander Martynovich, Luis Mata, Egor Sorokin – Dan Glazer, Valery Gromyko, Yug Stanoev – Dastan Satpayev, Jorginho
Referee
Anton Lashuk (Belarus)
Matches – 7 (Premier League, 2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Ordabasy: Match Prediction
Both opponents have not impressed with their results on the European stage. Often, teams are eliminated in the second qualifying round of a European competition. Clubs rarely win even in the early stages, making it challenging to determine the winner in this matchup. Unsurprisingly, bookmakers offer equal odds for the victory of the Georgians and Kazakhs.
I believe that in a contest between evenly matched opponents, the key will be how the teams perform in their home games. The Caucasians will be able to secure the necessary advantage at their home ground before traveling to Kazakhstan. In their last 16 official home matches, Torpedo has lost only 4 times, winning 10 and drawing 2. Meanwhile, the Kazakhs have not won 10 of their last 14 official away games (2 draws and 8 losses).
My prediction – Torpedo Kutaisi with a handicap (0)
