The Matchday 27 clash in Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Brest will take place on March 30 at the Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Toulouse
In the last round, Toulouse's three-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1 (2 wins, 1 draw) came to an end with a 1-2 loss to Strasbourg. Despite the defeat, the team managed to score again, extending their scoring streak in this tournament to four matches. Notably, Toulouse's defense has been reliable in the current championship, conceding 29 goals, with only PSG (25) and Lille (28) allowing fewer. In the Ligue 1 standings, the club is in 10th place, trailing the European competition zone by 10 points.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Toulouse's last 8 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club's winless home run in this tournament stands at 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in their last 5 home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Toulouse (4-5-1)
Kjetil Haug – Gabriel Suazo, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Djibril Sidibe – Vincent Sierro, Cristian Casseres, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho, Aron Donnum – Xavi Babica.
Brest
Brest played out a goalless draw with Reims in their previous Ligue 1 encounter. Before that, the club secured a clean-sheet victory over Angers in the championship with a score of 2-0. This marked the first time Brest managed to keep their goal intact in two consecutive matches in the current Ligue 1 season. The team has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches in the elite French division (5 wins, 3 draws) and sits one spot above their upcoming opponent in the standings, occupying 9th place.
- The club has scored in 13 of their last 16 league matches.
- On the road, Brest has avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches (3 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one goal was scored in the first half in 11 of Brest's last 12 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-5-1)
Marco Bizot – Kenny Lala, Julien Le Cardinal, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Massadio Haidara – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Romain Faivre, Mathias Pereira Lage – Ludovic Ajorque.
Defender Massadio Haidara will not play due to suspension, and midfielder Hugo Magnetti will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Hakim Ben El Hadj (France)
Matches – 12 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 48;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 25%.
Toulouse vs. Brest: Match Prediction
Bookmakers consider the hosts as clear favorites for the upcoming match, a view I disagree with. Firstly, Toulouse has been underwhelming at home in the current championship, earning fewer points at home than away (16 vs. 18). Additionally, the club has not won at home in the current calendar year, with a five-match winless streak in Ligue 1. Secondly, Brest has been a difficult opponent for Toulouse, with the team failing to win in their last 7 head-to-head league encounters (3 draws, 4 losses). In the first round of the current Ligue 1 season, Brest emerged victorious with a 2-0 win.
Moreover, Brest has consistently picked up points in recent away matches in the French championship, avoiding defeat in 4 of their last 5 encounters. In 3 of their last 4 away matches in the elite French league, they have been very solid defensively, preventing opponents from scoring.
Therefore, I do not expect an easy match for the hosts against an uncomfortable opponent, especially considering their recent lack of confidence at home. I believe the visitors will take points from Toulouse, my prediction: Brest to win or draw
