The match of matchday 17 of the Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Lens will take place on 2 January at Stadium Toulouse. Toulouse vs Lens: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Toulouse
Toulouse performed very well in December fixtures. At the start of the month Toulouse beat Strasbourg at home (1:0), then the visiting team thrashed Paris (3:0). Interestingly, in the current championship the squad managed three separate two-match winning runs, and also enjoyed a run of wins in three consecutive matches. Toulouse rose to 8th place in the standings and is only 4 points from the European zone. It is also worth noting that in the last 7 Ligue 1 matches the club suffered just 1 defeat (2 wins and 4 draws).
- The team has remained unbeaten in 5 of the previous 6 home league matches (2 wins and 3 draws).
- Toulouse did not concede more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- The club has not lost in the second half in 13 consecutive home league matches – 4 wins and 9 draws.
Potential Toulouse Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Guillaume Rest – Rasmus Nicolaisen, Charlie Creswell, Mark McKenzie – Djibril Sidibé, Deiann Metal, Alexis Vossa, Christian Casseres – Yann Gboho, Santiago Hidalgo – Emersonn Correia da Silva.
Midfielder Frank Magri and forward Shavy Babika are playing at AFCON 2025.
Lens
Lens are the winter champions of the Ligue 1. The provisional title was secured in the previous round after a home victory over Nice with a score of 2:0. We should also highlight Lens's six-match winning run in the championship, which propelled the team to first place and left them 1 point clear of the nearest rival Paris Saint-Germain. In addition, the Lens defense is currently the best in the French championship – only 13 goals conceded.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 8 of the club's previous 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Lens scored at least two goals in 8 of the last 10 league matches.
- The team conceded in 11 of their previous 12 away Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Lens Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Ruben Risser – Malang Sarr, Samson Baidoo, Pierre Ganiou – Mathieu Udol, Adrien Thomasson, Mamadou Sangaré, Ruben Aguilar – Wesley Said, Florian Thauvin – Odsonne Edouard.
Midfielders Cheick Doukouré, Mamadou Sangaré and Seko Fofana are with their national teams.
Referee
Mathieu Vernis (France)
Matches – 5 (the Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 31;
Penalties – 20%.
Toulouse vs Lens: Match Prediction
Despite leading the table, bookmakers still do not value the visitors on the same level as Paris Saint-Germain and offer fairly high prices for Pierre Saha's side to win the upcoming fixture. This is worth taking advantage of. Lens are in incredible form and have won 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches. It is unlikely that the team will lose such momentum over a two-week break and start the new year with a defeat.
Toulouse still lacks consistency, and two consecutive wins represent the club's ceiling in recent results. Even at home the team constantly drops points and can easily lose not only to top sides but also to midtable opponents. In the previous 17 home Ligue 1 matches Toulouse has won only 4 (6 draws and 7 losses). In addition, we note that in the last 8 head-to-head league meetings Toulouse has beaten this opponent just once (1 draw and 6 losses).
Prediction: Lens Draw No Bet
* For each team the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is shown.
