The Matchday 15 clash in Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Saint-Etienne will take place on December 13 at the Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse vs. Saint-Etienne: prediction and statistics.
Referee: Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 7 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 14%.
Predicted lineups for Toulouse vs. Saint-Etienne
Toulouse (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes – Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Djibril Sidibe – Aron Dønnum, Cristian Casseres, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo – Zakaria Aboukhlal, Yann Gboho, Joshua King.
Saint-Etienne (5-4-1): Gauthier Larsonneur – Dennis Appiah, Dylan Batubinsika, Pierre-Emmanuel Ekwah, Yunis Abdelhamid, Pierre Cornud – Leo Petro, Benjamin Bouchouari, Louis Mouton, Zuriko Davitashvili – Lucas Stassin.
Each team's lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Toulouse
The club suffered their second goalless defeat in their last three Ligue 1 matches (1 win), losing 0-2 to Monaco in the previous round. Their uncompromising streak in this tournament has now reached six games (4 wins, 2 losses). Interestingly, during this stretch, one of the opponents left without scoring. After 14 matches, the club is in 10th place in the French top division standings, trailing the European competition zone by 5 points. The team has a negative goal difference of 15:16.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in Toulouse's last 11 Ligue 1 matches.
- At home, the club has not lost in 4 of their last 5 matches in this tournament (3 clean sheet wins and 1 draw).
- The team's home scoring streak in the championship stands at 6 matches.
Saint-Etienne
Olivier Dall'Oglio's side suffered two consecutive goalless defeats in the French championship, losing to Rennes (0-5) and Marseille (0-2). This extended Saint-Etienne's uncompromising run in Ligue 1 to 8 matches (3 wins, 5 losses). As a result of these recent defeats, the club has fallen into the playoff zone in the league standings, dropping to 16th place. They are below the safe 15th position only due to additional factors. It's important to note that Saint-Etienne shares the title of the league's worst attacking team with Havre, having scored 11 times.
- The team has conceded 32 goals in the current championship, with only Montpellier conceding more (36).
- One opponent failed to score in 5 of Saint-Etienne's last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club's winless away streak in the French top division is 14 matches (4 draws, 10 losses).
Toulouse vs. Saint-Etienne: Match Prediction
Carlos Martinez's men couldn't challenge one of the league leaders and deservedly lost. However, in a match against a league outsider, the hosts can certainly aim for 3 points. Toulouse won their last two home matches in the French championship without conceding, defeating much stronger opponents – Reims and Auxerre. With one of the weakest away teams in the league visiting, I expect a similar result in the upcoming match.
Saint-Etienne has earned only 1 point in away matches this season, losing 6 out of 7 games. Notably, the goal difference in these matches was 4:25. A mid-table Ligue 1 team should handle such an opponent confidently.
My prediction for the match is a bet on Toulouse to win.
